Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panserraikos FC v Atromitos Athens

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 13:00 UTC

Final: Panserraikos FC 0–4 Atromitos Athens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panserraikos FC (Local)

Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -0.818%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%26.51%26.17%28.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.453.7031.75%29.01%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atromitos Athens (Visit)

Prediction 43.06%2.32fair odd
EV -0.541%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.90%42.99%43.25%44.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.132.152.3151.55%46.92%46.51%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.51%3.28fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.26%30.50%30.58%32.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.2037.04%33.62%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panserraikos FC (Local): 26.43%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 43.06%; Draw: 30.51%. For Atromitos Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.31, with an expected value of -0.541%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 12:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.41%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.41%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 12:49
Pinnacle🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -2.47%E -0.670%K -0.919%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.97%EV -3.55%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.95%EV -5.10%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 12:49
Suprabets🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.34%EV -2.47%E -0.670%K -0.919%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.70%EV -7.86%E -3.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.96%EV -7.85%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:36
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -3.53%E -0.967%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:35
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 12:54
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -5.12%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -7.86%E -3.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -5.71%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 12:54
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 12:54
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.36%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 12:39
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 12:48
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 12:54
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 12:54
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 12:34
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 12:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:50
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:49
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:50
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:49
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -7.00%E -3.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 12:50
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 12:49
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 12:50
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 12:35
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -8.72%E -4.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -8.72%E -4.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -8.72%E -4.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 12:50
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 12:35
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.74%E -5.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 12:34
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.74%E -5.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.74%E -5.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.74%E -5.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.74%E -5.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -16.09%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-22 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 25.80%EV -10.67%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.94%EV -16.47%E -8.49%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.26%EV -9.07%E -3.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-22 12:38
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -11.46%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 12:50
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.90%EV -0.541%E -0.234%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 12:39
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.90%EV -0.541%E -0.234%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 12:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 12:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.74%E -5.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-22 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.74%EV -11.30%E -5.49%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-22 12:49
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -17.61%E -6.52%K -10.36%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -16.74%E -5.32%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -11.74%E -5.72%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-22 12:54
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-04-22 12:49
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.87%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%5.1%2026-04-22 12:49