L’École des cotes

Panserraikos FC v AEL

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

Score final : Panserraikos FC 1–1 AEL

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Panserraikos FC (Local)

Prévision 30.52%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -0.922%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.35%30.51%30.53%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.962.953.1835.71%33.73%33.90%31.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AEL (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.30%2.68cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.583%
Kelly -0.938%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.05%37.27%37.25%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.432.6443.48%41.01%41.15%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.18%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.38%32.23%32.22%33.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.882.903.0038.46%34.76%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -2.93%E -0.922%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.45%EV -1.54%E -0.583%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.29%EV -7.00%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:25
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.89%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.89%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:15
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.72%EV -10.54%E -3.79%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.72%EV -10.54%E -3.79%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 14:05
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 14:05
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.90%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 14:15
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.62%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.62%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 14:09
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:20
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -8.62%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 14:22
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 14:25
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 14:15
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.62%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 14:15
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.28%EV -14.22%E -6.18%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.37%EV -12.47%E -4.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 14:09
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 14:10
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -12.35%E -5.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 14:20
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -11.24%E -4.72%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -11.24%E -4.72%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.14%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.47%EV -11.24%E -4.72%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.39%EV -16.33%E -6.28%K -10.21%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -14.22%E -6.18%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 14:15
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.39%E -4.32%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -11.61%E -4.90%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.39%E -4.32%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -11.61%E -4.90%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -13.00%E -4.56%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -11.24%E -4.72%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:45
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -13.00%E -4.56%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.25%EV -14.22%E -6.18%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -15.69%E -5.99%K -9.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 14:10
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.46%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -13.47%E -5.81%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.58%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -12.35%E -5.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%2.63I 38.02%NM 38.02%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%0.0%2026-05-02 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%0.9%2026-05-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%0.9%2026-05-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%0.9%2026-05-02 14:20
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.77%2.1%2026-05-02 14:25