La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Panserraikos FC v AEL
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Panserraikos FC (Local)
Predicción 30.52%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.922%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.35%30.51%30.53%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.962.953.1835.71%33.73%33.90%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEL (Visitante)
Predicción 37.30%2.68momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -0.938%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.05%37.27%37.25%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.432.6443.48%41.01%41.15%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.18%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.38%32.23%32.22%33.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.882.903.0038.46%34.76%34.48%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -2.93%E -0.922%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.45%EV -1.54%E -0.583%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.29%EV -7.00%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.89%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.89%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.72%EV -10.54%E -3.79%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -3.03%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.72%EV -10.54%E -3.79%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.90%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.62%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.62%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 14:09 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -8.62%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 14:22 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.76%E -2.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.62%E -3.52%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.28%EV -14.22%E -6.18%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.37%EV -12.47%E -4.59%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -12.35%E -5.26%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -9.37%E -3.86%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -11.24%E -4.72%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -11.24%E -4.72%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.14%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.47%EV -11.24%E -4.72%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.39%EV -16.33%E -6.28%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -14.22%E -6.18%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 14:15 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.39%E -4.32%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -11.61%E -4.90%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.39%E -4.32%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -11.61%E -4.90%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -13.00%E -4.56%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -11.24%E -4.72%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -13.00%E -4.56%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.25%EV -14.22%E -6.18%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -15.69%E -5.99%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.46%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.96%EV -13.47%E -5.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.58%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -10.49%E -4.37%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -14.53%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -12.35%E -5.26%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.02% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 14:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.55% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.77% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |