Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio v Panserraikos FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 17:00 UTC

Final: Panetolikos Agrinio 2–3 Panserraikos FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prediction 50.29%1.99fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.27%50.47%51.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.9157.80%54.96%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panserraikos FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.78%4.81fair odd
EV +5.77%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 5.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.82%20.74%20.60%22.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.334.305.0926.32%23.09%23.26%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.93%3.46fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.686%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.99%28.92%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.46%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 50.29%; Panserraikos FC (Visit): 20.78%; Draw: 28.93%. For Panserraikos FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.81. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.96%EV -5.45%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.82%EV +5.77%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.081%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.22%EV -8.30%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 16:45
Suprabets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.83%EV -7.46%E -4.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV +1.82%E +0.372%K +0.467%G +0.008%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.08%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV +1.82%E +0.372%K +0.467%G +0.008%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -11.77%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV +1.82%E +0.372%K +0.467%G +0.008%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -11.77%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:25
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.30%EV -6.46%E -3.47%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.61%EV -0.881%E -0.185%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.08%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.96%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.41%E -0.959%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 08:29
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.96%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.41%E -0.959%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.41%E -0.959%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 08:29
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:29
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.49%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -4.44%E -2.34%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -1.65%E -0.484%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 05:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.65%E -0.484%K -0.686%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 05:09
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.99%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -8.57%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -9.75%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 16:44
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -10.02%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.99%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -10.02%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -10.32%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -3.94%E -2.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:09
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:10
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 16:10
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 16:49
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -10.65%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.08%EV -10.98%E -6.20%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.86%EV -11.69%E -2.75%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.77%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.65%E -0.484%K -0.686%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.89%EV -7.46%E -4.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 05:10
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.96%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 05:10
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 05:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 08:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -10.48%E -5.89%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.79%EV -12.99%E -7.51%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -12.73%E -3.03%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%EV -16.11%E -5.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -8.47%E -4.65%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -14.80%E -3.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.43%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 05:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.59%EV -12.49%E -7.18%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.47%EV -14.80%E -3.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -8.88%E -2.82%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 17:15
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -5.98%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -10.48%E -5.89%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.77%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 08:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -12.99%E -7.51%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.88%E -4.22%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -16.69%E -5.79%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-18 05:10
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.93%EV -11.99%E -6.85%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -21.04%E -5.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-18 05:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.48%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-04-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.48%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-04-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.61%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43%1.4%2026-04-18 16:50
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-04-18 16:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.98%2.6%2026-04-18 16:45