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Panetolikos Agrinio v Olympiakos Piraeus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)
Prediction 10.58%9.45fair odd
EV +16.35%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.267%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.48%10.38%10.82%11.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.089.0011.0013.33%11.02%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit)
Prediction 70.21%1.42fair odd
EV -5.91%
Edge -4.41%
Kelly -17.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.90%70.42%69.88%72.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3481.97%77.07%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.21%5.21fair odd
EV +0.849%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.200%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.03%19.19%19.30%20.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.744.755.2523.53%21.09%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 10.58%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit): 70.21%; Draw: 19.21%. For Panetolikos Agrinio (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.45. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +16.35%E +1.49%K +1.63%G +0.267% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -10.13%E -7.91%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +11.06%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.129% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +11.06%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.129% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV +11.06%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.129% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.61%EV -11.53%E -9.15%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV +11.06%E +1.05%K +1.16%G +0.129% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.77%EV -12.23%E -9.79%K -48.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 10:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 09:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.23%E -9.79%K -48.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 13:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV +5.77%E +0.577%K +0.641%G +0.037% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.23%E -9.79%K -48.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.92I 10.08%NM 9.42%EV +4.92%E +0.496%K +0.552%G +0.027% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.76%EV -7.32%E -5.54%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV -9.52%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.87I 10.13%NM 9.70%EV +4.39%E +0.445%K +0.495%G +0.022% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.91%E -4.41%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.88%EV -2.61%E -0.515%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +0.481%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 09:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -5.91%E -4.41%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 12:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 13:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 13:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.21%EV -8.02%E -6.12%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.21%EV -8.02%E -6.12%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-17 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.73%EV -11.53%E -9.15%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.73%EV -11.53%E -9.15%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -4.81%E -0.534%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.73%EV -11.53%E -9.15%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.82%EV -7.45%E -0.852%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.16%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +0.849%E +0.162%K +0.200%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 13:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.86%EV -9.04%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.69%EV -5.91%E -4.41%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.86%EV -9.04%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.69%EV -5.91%E -4.41%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -10.10%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.62%EV -8.02%E -6.12%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 11:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -10.10%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.47%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -10.10%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.32%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.68%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -10.10%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -9.42%E -7.31%K -32.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 09:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.10%EV -10.10%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.38%EV -14.34%E -11.75%K -65.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.52%EV -15.48%E -3.52%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-10-18 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.38%EV -12.74%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.17%EV -14.34%E -11.75%K -65.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.46%EV -15.48%E -3.52%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-18 13:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -13.27%E -1.62%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.06%EV -7.32%E -5.54%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -15.38%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.62%E -4.97%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -15.38%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 13:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -15.38%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 13:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -15.38%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -15.38%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 13:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -15.38%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -15.38%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.71%EV -11.53%E -9.15%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.31%EV -12.60%E -2.77%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-18 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.81%EV -15.38%E -1.92%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.21%EV -12.23%E -9.79%K -48.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -16.82%E -3.89%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -18.03%E -2.33%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.62%EV -8.02%E -6.12%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -5.87%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -20.67%E -2.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.97%EV -8.72%E -6.71%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.22%EV -20.67%E -2.76%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.98%EV -14.34%E -11.75%K -65.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 19.80%EV -18.36%E -4.32%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-10-18 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.25% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.25% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 13:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.25% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.78% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 13:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.82% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |