The School of Odds

Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prediction 36.47%2.74fair odd
EV -7.00%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.92%36.47%36.51%37.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.502.5543%41%40%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Asteras Tripolis (Visit)

Prediction 33.40%2.99fair odd
EV -6.49%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%33.40%33.36%34.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.8040%37%37%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.13%3.32fair odd
EV -6.59%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%30.13%30.13%30.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.853.013.003.1035%33%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.59%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 11:35
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.59%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 11:35
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 11:33
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.59%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 11:35
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-21 11:35
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -12.47%E -5.19%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -13.17%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-21 11:34
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -14.29%E -6.08%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -13.17%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -11.11%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-21 11:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.67%EV -16.11%E -7.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.74%EV -16.51%E -6.60%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.59%EV -14.12%E -4.96%K -7.63%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-21 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 12:25