L’École des cotes

Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 16:00 UTC

Score final : Panetolikos Agrinio 1–2 Asteras Tripolis

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prévision 42.61%2.35cote équitable
EV +0.144%
Avantage +0.061%
Kelly +0.107%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.12%42.62%42.62%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.202.162.3549.50%45.43%46.30%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Asteras Tripolis (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%29.19%29.20%31.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.063.053.3035.71%32.69%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.18%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.392%
Kelly -0.549%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.19%28.18%29.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:40
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:40
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -1.13%E -0.489%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -1.13%E -0.489%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -1.13%E -0.489%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 15:40
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -1.99%E -0.864%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -16.76%E -5.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-21 15:40
Betsson2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 15:50
NordicBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 15:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.37%E -0.392%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:48
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -18.22%E -6.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.46%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-21 15:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 15:50
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 15:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 15:49
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 15:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 15:50
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.42%EV -2.22%E -0.639%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:50
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 15:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 15:39
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:46
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:50
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 15:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.92%EV -9.23%E -4.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 15:46
Suprabets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -9.66%E -4.56%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.56%EV -4.49%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.39%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 15:48
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.51%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -10.51%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.84%E -6.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.64%E -6.17%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 15:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.64%E -6.17%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-21 15:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -12.64%E -6.17%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -15.46%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-21 15:50
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -13.92%E -6.89%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -15.46%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-21 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51%0.2%2026-05-21 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-05-21 15:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%4.1%2026-05-21 15:50