La escuela de los momios

Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis

Inicio: 2026-05-21 16:00 UTC

Final: Panetolikos Agrinio 1–2 Asteras Tripolis

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Predicción 42.61%2.35momio equitativo
EV +0.144%
Ventaja +0.061%
Kelly +0.107%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.12%42.62%42.62%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.202.162.3549.50%45.43%46.30%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Asteras Tripolis (Visitante)

Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.19%29.20%31.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.063.053.3035.71%32.69%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.18%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.392%
Kelly -0.549%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%28.19%28.18%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.25%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:40
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:39
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +0.144%E +0.061%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:40
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -1.13%E -0.489%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -1.13%E -0.489%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -1.13%E -0.489%K -0.860%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 15:40
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -1.99%E -0.864%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -16.76%E -5.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-21 15:40
Betsson2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 15:50
NordicBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 15:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.37%E -0.392%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:48
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -18.22%E -6.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.46%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-21 15:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 15:50
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 15:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 15:49
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 15:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 15:50
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.42%EV -2.22%E -0.639%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:50
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -7.95%E -3.68%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 15:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 15:39
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:46
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:50
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 15:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 15:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.92%EV -9.23%E -4.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 15:46
Suprabets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -9.66%E -4.56%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.56%EV -4.49%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.39%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 15:48
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.51%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -10.51%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.84%E -6.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-21 15:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.64%E -6.17%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 15:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.64%E -6.17%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-21 15:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -12.64%E -6.17%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -15.46%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-21 15:50
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -13.92%E -6.89%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -15.46%E -5.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-21 15:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51%0.2%2026-05-21 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-05-21 15:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%4.1%2026-05-21 15:50