Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio v AE Kifisia FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.07%32.43%32.45%33.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.823.0038.46%35.41%35.46%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AE Kifisia FC (Visit)

Prediction 36.42%2.75fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -0.980%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.28%36.44%36.51%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.91%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.12%3.21fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.13%31.04%32.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.922.903.1038.46%34.29%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 32.46%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 36.42%; Draw: 31.12%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.62%E -0.874%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 15:55
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -2.62%E -0.874%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 15:39
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.21%EV -2.95%E -0.986%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.12%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.58%EV -5.08%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 15:45
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -3.27%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 15:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.51%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -1.67%E -0.617%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.51%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -1.67%E -0.617%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 15:35
Suprabets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.14%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.26%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.60%EV -7.88%E -2.66%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 15:38
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -5.08%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 15:35
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 15:34
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 15:54
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -5.87%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.53%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 15:40
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -7.49%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.53%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 15:48
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.49%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 15:40
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.49%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 15:39
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.49%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 15:54
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -7.49%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -8.47%E -3.00%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.02%EV -14.41%E -6.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-09 15:38
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.11%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 15:35
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%EV -9.11%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.96%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 15:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -9.11%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -9.68%E -3.90%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-09 15:40
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.11%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 15:29
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.11%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-09 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 31.88%EV -9.76%E -3.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.56%EV -14.05%E -5.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-09 15:54
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -10.74%E -3.90%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 15:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.74%E -3.90%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -5.08%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 15:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.74%E -3.90%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 15:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.74%E -3.90%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.74%E -3.90%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.74%E -3.90%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 15:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.74%E -3.90%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 15:51
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -12.59%E -5.25%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-09 15:45
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -15.97%E -5.92%K -9.40%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-09 15:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.79%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.00%EV -15.51%E -6.68%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-09 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -16.23%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-09 15:51
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.98%E -5.28%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -14.41%E -6.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-09 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.62%EV -14.41%E -6.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -19.09%E -7.34%K -11.93%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-09 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-09 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-09 15:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-03-09 15:51
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.92%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.52%2.4%2026-03-09 15:51
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.34%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%6.9%2026-03-09 15:55