Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos v Olympiakos Piraeus

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 18:00 UTC

Final: Panathinaikos 0–2 Olympiakos Piraeus

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 23.43%4.27fair odd
EV +0.974%
Edge +0.226%
Kelly +0.294%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%23.44%23.43%24.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.913.904.3128.17%25.60%25.64%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit)

Prediction 45.64%2.19fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.17%45.66%45.67%47.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.962.1053.48%50.42%51.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.812%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.17%30.91%30.90%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.1537.04%33.48%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 23.43%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit): 45.64%; Draw: 30.93%. For Panathinaikos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.974%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.31I 23.20%NM 21.70%EV +0.974%E +0.226%K +0.294%G +0.003%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.84%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 17:55
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -1.60%E -0.382%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.81%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 17:40
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.60%E -0.382%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 17:50
Pinnacle🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 22.93%EV -1.84%E -0.438%K -0.576%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.10%EV -4.41%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -3.95%E -0.962%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -3.95%E -0.962%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 17:55
Suprabets🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.95%E -0.962%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.83%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -7.82%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:51
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:50
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:50
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 17:55
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:45
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:35
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 17:49
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 17:50
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.52%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -11.22%E -3.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 17:50
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 17:50
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.46%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.75%EV -10.55%E -5.38%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 17:50
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 17:53
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.06%EV -10.55%E -5.38%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:25
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:25
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:25
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.19%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.56%E -0.812%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:25
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 17:40
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 17:40
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.80%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -11.92%E -6.18%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.80%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -11.92%E -6.18%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.80%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -11.92%E -6.18%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -9.80%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.34%EV -12.83%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 23.33%EV -10.27%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -11.46%E -5.91%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.60%EV -9.67%E -3.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 17:49
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:50
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:55
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 17:40
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.24%EV -10.55%E -5.38%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.13%EV -14.66%E -7.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.11%EV -12.83%E -6.72%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.91%EV -16.48%E -6.10%K -9.69%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.61%EV -14.20%E -7.55%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.52%EV -15.86%E -5.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-19 17:53
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -15.66%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -11.01%E -5.64%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -16.48%E -6.10%K -9.69%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -16.83%E -4.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.65%EV -10.55%E -5.38%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.7%2026-04-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-19 17:55
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-04-19 17:55
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.11%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.80%4.1%2026-04-19 17:50