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Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 76.69%1.30fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -4.61%
Kelly -24.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.60%76.88%76.60%79.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.181.201.2390.91%84.53%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Asteras Tripolis (Visit)
Prediction 8.07%12.40fair odd
EV +21.01%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.315%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.20%7.99%8.03%9.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.7312.0015.0011.11%8.52%8.33%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.25%6.56fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +0.816%
Kelly +0.954%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 6.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.59%15.13%15.37%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.006.006.9319.61%16.65%16.67%14.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 76.69%; Asteras Tripolis (Visit): 8.07%; Draw: 15.25%. For Asteras Tripolis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.40. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +21.01%E +1.40%K +1.50%G +0.315% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -0.900%E -0.138%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 14:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.57%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 14.36I 6.96%NM 6.65%EV +15.85%E +1.10%K +1.19%G +0.188% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.78%EV +5.66%E +0.816%K +0.954%G +0.054% | 4.7% | 2026-10-18 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +12.95%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.900%E -0.138%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -11.04%E -9.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV +12.95%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.90%EV -12.58%E -11.03%K -89.84%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV +12.95%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.59%EV +2.15%E +0.321%K +0.377%G +0.008% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 14:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.57%EV -6.44%E -5.28%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +4.88%E +0.375%K +0.407%G +0.020% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -12.33%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +4.88%E +0.375%K +0.407%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 12:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +4.88%E +0.375%K +0.407%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 13:02 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -12.58%E -11.03%K -89.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV +4.88%E +0.375%K +0.407%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -12.58%E -11.03%K -89.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV +4.88%E +0.375%K +0.407%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -10.28%E -8.78%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -12.58%E -11.03%K -89.84%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -7.00%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -12.58%E -11.03%K -89.84%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -7.00%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -12.58%E -11.03%K -89.84%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV +0.844%E +0.068%K +0.073%G +0.001% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -7.00%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.68%E -4.61%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 11:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.900%E -0.138%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 09:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 09:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -8.74%E -7.35%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.33%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.33%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.71%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -12.33%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 78.43%EV -15.65%E -14.22%K -156.45%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.19%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-18 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.44%E -5.28%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -7.22%E -0.628%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -4.71%E -0.754%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.22%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.02%EV -7.22%E -0.628%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.76%EV -10.81%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.22%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.02%EV -7.22%E -0.628%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.76%EV -10.81%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.44%E -5.28%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -16.15%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.16%EV -6.44%E -5.28%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -15.29%E -1.46%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.99%EV -5.47%E -0.883%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.16%EV -6.44%E -5.28%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -15.29%E -1.46%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.99%EV -5.47%E -0.883%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 76.32%EV -14.11%E -12.60%K -117.59%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.14%EV -15.29%E -1.46%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54%EV -16.15%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.74%EV -11.04%E -9.52%K -69.02%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.57%EV -17.31%E -1.69%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.69%EV -14.62%E -2.61%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-18 14:07 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.44%E -5.28%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -19.32%E -1.93%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.79%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -19.32%E -1.93%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.16%EV -14.62%E -2.61%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -19.32%E -1.93%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -16.15%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 10:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.68%EV -12.58%E -11.03%K -89.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%EV -19.32%E -1.93%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.69%EV -16.15%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-18 14:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -23.36%E -2.46%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -8.52%E -1.42%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -23.36%E -2.46%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -12.33%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -23.36%E -2.46%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -12.33%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -23.36%E -2.46%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -12.33%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -23.36%E -2.46%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -12.33%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 74.60%EV -13.34%E -11.81%K -102.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 8.87%EV -23.36%E -2.46%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.53%EV -22.24%E -4.36%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.97%EV -8.74%E -7.35%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -27.39%E -3.04%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.12%EV -10.05%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.82% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.82% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.82% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.82% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.48% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |