The School of Odds
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Panathinaikos v AEK Athens

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 17:30 UTC

Final: Panathinaikos 2–0 AEK Athens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 45.40%2.20fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.33%45.49%45.32%48.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.032.042.1554.64%49.21%49.02%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AEK Athens (Visit)

Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV +0.967%
Edge +0.261%
Kelly +0.358%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%27.28%27.33%29.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.293.263.7034.48%30.37%30.67%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.31%3.66fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%27.23%27.35%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.393.6032.26%29.88%29.50%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 45.40%; AEK Athens (Visit): 27.29%; Draw: 27.31%. For AEK Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.967%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV +0.967%E +0.261%K +0.358%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -15.10%E -8.08%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -1.76%E -0.489%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -7.38%E -3.62%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.13%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -7.38%E -3.62%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.13%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 17:00
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -7.38%E -3.62%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.13%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.93%E -3.38%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -11.01%E -5.62%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 17:15
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.55%EV -6.93%E -3.38%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.83%EV -5.04%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -7.69%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 17:00
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 16:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 16:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 17:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 16:58
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -11.47%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -11.47%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 17:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 16:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -3.75%E -1.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.68%E -0.467%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.93%E -3.38%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.93%E -3.38%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -5.57%E -2.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -10.56%E -5.36%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -10.77%E -3.29%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 16:17
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -6.47%E -3.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 16:20
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 16:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -13.28%E -6.96%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -15.34%E -4.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%15.4%2026-11-01 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:55
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:55
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.93%E -3.38%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.47%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-01 17:23
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -6.93%E -3.38%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -14.04%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.93%E -3.38%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 16:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-01 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -13.28%E -6.96%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.86%EV -16.92%E -9.24%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -15.41%E -4.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -15.34%E -4.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%19.2%2026-11-01 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.09%EV -10.11%E -5.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -16.77%E -5.50%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-01 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -7.38%E -3.62%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -18.13%E -6.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -7.38%E -3.62%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -18.13%E -6.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -7.38%E -3.62%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -18.13%E -6.04%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.51%EV -11.01%E -5.62%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.41%EV -20.86%E -7.19%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -13.97%E -4.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-01 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-11-01 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-11-01 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-11-01 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-11-01 17:15
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-11-01 17:10

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