La scuola delle quote

Panathinaikos v AEK Athens

Inizio: 2026-05-03 18:00 UTC

Finale: Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Panathinaikos (Casa)

Previsione 22.88%4.37quota equa
EV +1.80%
Vantaggio +0.405%
Kelly +0.522%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.58%22.84%22.84%25.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.894.004.4528.99%25.73%25.00%22.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEK Athens (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.64%2.06quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.863%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.61%48.69%48.61%50.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.911.912.0257.80%52.24%52.36%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.48%3.51quota equa
EV -3.16%
Vantaggio -0.930%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.42%28.47%28.54%29.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.46%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.45I 22.47%NM 21.58%EV +1.80%E +0.405%K +0.522%G +0.009%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:50
1xBet4.28I 23.36%NM 21.85%EV -2.09%E -0.488%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.07%E -4.27%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -7.15%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:55
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:45
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 17:55
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -8.07%E -4.27%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:54
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -8.07%E -4.27%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:56
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 17:36
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:36
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.12%E -3.17%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.70%EV -7.15%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:55
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:00
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:36
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 17:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:45
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 17:49
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 17:50
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 17:51
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 17:51
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 17:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 17:50
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:45
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:50
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:45
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 22.73%EV -10.09%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.35%EV -11.96%E -6.61%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:34
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 17:45
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.18%EV -11.92%E -3.10%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.36%EV -15.85%E -9.16%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -14.56%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-03 17:54
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 17:36
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 17:45
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.56%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 17:05
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 17:35
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -14.21%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 17:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -14.21%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -12.44%E -6.91%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.97%E -6.24%K -9.56%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-03 17:15
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -16.50%E -4.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.89%EV -10.50%E -5.71%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 17:36
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:21
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:21
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 17:20
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.47%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -17.40%E -6.00%K -9.16%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -4.18%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 17:21
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -21.08%E -6.11%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -6.61%E -3.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.13%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 17:21
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-03 17:49
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-05-03 17:55