L’École des cotes

Panathinaikos v AEK Athens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 18:00 UTC

Score final : Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prévision 22.88%4.37cote équitable
EV +1.80%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +0.522%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.58%22.84%22.84%25.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.894.004.4528.99%25.73%25.00%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AEK Athens (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.64%2.06cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.863%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.61%48.69%48.61%50.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.911.912.0257.80%52.24%52.36%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.48%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.930%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.42%28.47%28.54%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.46%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.45I 22.47%NM 21.58%EV +1.80%E +0.405%K +0.522%G +0.009%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:50
1xBet4.28I 23.36%NM 21.85%EV -2.09%E -0.488%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.07%E -4.27%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -7.15%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:55
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 17:45
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.16%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 17:55
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -8.07%E -4.27%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:54
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -8.07%E -4.27%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 17:56
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 17:36
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:36
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.12%E -3.17%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.70%EV -7.15%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:55
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 17:00
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:36
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 17:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:45
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 17:49
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 17:50
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 17:51
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 17:51
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 17:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 17:50
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:45
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:50
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:45
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 22.73%EV -10.09%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.35%EV -11.96%E -6.61%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 17:34
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 17:45
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.18%EV -11.92%E -3.10%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.36%EV -15.85%E -9.16%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -14.56%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-03 17:54
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 17:36
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 17:45
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.56%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 17:05
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 17:35
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -14.21%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 17:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -14.21%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -12.44%E -6.91%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.97%E -6.24%K -9.56%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-03 17:15
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -16.50%E -4.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.89%EV -10.50%E -5.71%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 17:36
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:21
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:21
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 17:20
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 17:20
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -2.72%E -1.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 17:20
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -17.64%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.47%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -17.40%E -6.00%K -9.16%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -18.79%E -5.29%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -4.18%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 17:21
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -21.08%E -6.11%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -6.61%E -3.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.13%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 17:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-03 17:49
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-05-03 17:55