The School of Odds
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Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 71.45%1.40fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -10.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.22%71.50%71.59%74.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.281.3581.30%77.52%78.13%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AE Kifisia FC (Visit)

Prediction 9.39%10.65fair odd
EV +31.43%
Edge +2.25%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.760%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.67%9.18%9.39%12.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.629.7514.0014.29%10.39%10.26%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.16%5.22fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -0.951%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.28%19.32%19.02%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.724.755.0223.81%21.19%21.05%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 71.45%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 9.39%; Draw: 19.16%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.67%EV -10.68%E -8.55%K -42.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +31.43%E +2.25%K +2.42%G +0.760%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.21%E -0.841%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.71%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +3.27%E +0.297%K +0.327%G +0.011%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.21%E -0.841%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -9.25%E -7.29%K -34.28%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -9.25%E -7.29%K -34.28%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 01:44
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.40%E -4.88%K -20.63%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.28%EV -5.18%E -0.513%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 06:13
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.54%E -2.62%K -10.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.00%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -10.68%E -8.55%K -42.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.00%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 01:39
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.22%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.50%G +0.000%9.87I 10.13%NM 9.37%EV -7.34%E -0.744%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.41%EV -3.82%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 13:39
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -5.68%E -4.30%K -17.76%G +0.000%9.81I 10.19%NM 9.58%EV -7.90%E -0.806%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.25%EV -6.50%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.12%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.50%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.42%EV -8.00%E -0.816%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.21%E -0.841%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 14:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.73%EV -9.25%E -7.29%K -34.28%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.30%EV -8.00%E -0.816%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 13:39
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.08%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.50%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.46%EV -8.47%E -0.868%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.21%E -0.841%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 08:06
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -4.97%E -3.73%K -15.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -10.81%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:49
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -4.97%E -3.73%K -15.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -10.81%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -4.97%E -3.73%K -15.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -10.81%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -4.97%E -3.73%K -15.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -10.81%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:49
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.70%EV -10.68%E -8.55%K -42.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.43%EV -10.81%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -9.00%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-18 20:34
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.97%E -3.73%K -15.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -15.51%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 09:44
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.97%E -3.73%K -15.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -15.51%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:59
Suprabets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.67%EV -5.68%E -4.30%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.33%EV -16.45%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 08:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -11.40%E -9.19%K -47.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -24.90%E -3.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-14 14:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 70.37%EV -12.11%E -9.85%K -52.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.82%EV -24.90%E -3.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.82%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-14 14:39
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.21%EV -10.68%E -8.55%K -42.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.81%EV -24.90%E -3.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -17.04%E -3.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-22 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.22%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -34.28%E -4.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%EV -19.53%E -4.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-14 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33%170.3%2026-08-21 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33%170.3%2026-08-21 08:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 32.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 34.37%1.11I 90.09%NM 32.82%174.5%2026-08-21 10:10
Smarkets◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.54%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.86%1.07I 93.46%NM 32.60%186.7%2026-08-14 15:10