The School of Odds

Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia FC

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prediction 73.66%1.36fair odd
EV -6.45%
Edge -5.08%
Kelly -23.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.08%73.66%73.54%74.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2783%81%82%79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

AE Kifisia FC (Visit)

Prediction 7.72%12.95fair odd
EV +0.407%
Edge +0.031%
Kelly +0.034%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.15%7.72%7.78%9.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.0012.0013.0012%9%8%8%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 18.61%5.37fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -0.767%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.88%18.61%18.68%20.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.815.005.2024%21%20%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.97%EV -8.66%E -6.98%K -36.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +0.407%E +0.031%K +0.034%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -3.22%E -0.619%K -0.767%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 11:33
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.80%EV -10.13%E -8.30%K -46.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.30%EV -3.45%E -0.276%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -5.08%E -0.996%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 11:35
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.54%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -7.32%E -0.610%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.94%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 11:35
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.54%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -7.32%E -0.610%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.94%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.63%EV -11.60%E -9.67%K -58.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -7.32%E -0.610%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -6.94%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-21 11:35
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -7.92%E -6.34%K -31.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -15.04%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -12.53%E -2.67%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 11:35
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.39%EV -10.13%E -8.30%K -46.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -30.49%E -3.39%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -14.39%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-21 11:35
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.13%E -8.30%K -46.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -30.49%E -3.39%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -16.25%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-21 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 70.08%EV -11.60%E -9.67%K -58.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.89%EV -34.35%E -4.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.02%EV -21.83%E -5.20%K -6.82%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-21 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 12:25