The School of Odds
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Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK Thessaloniki

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Prediction 59.82%1.67fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -8.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.34%59.96%59.73%61.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.531.541.5970.92%65.44%65.15%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)

Prediction 16.85%5.94fair odd
EV +2.10%
Edge +0.347%
Kelly +0.415%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 6.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.36%16.79%16.86%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.435.506.0621.05%18.41%18.18%16.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.33%4.29fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.25%23.41%24.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.873.904.2028.99%25.82%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiakos Piraeus (Local): 59.82%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 16.85%; Draw: 23.33%. For PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.17%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.85%EV +2.10%E +0.347%K +0.415%G +0.009%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -2.48%E -0.594%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 18:40
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.02%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +1.09%E +0.182%K +0.218%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-08 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.57%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV -0.594%E -0.101%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.28%E -0.393%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-08 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -3.12%E -0.543%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.02%E -0.480%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%EV -12.06%E -8.21%K -25.66%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.95%EV -3.96%E -0.695%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-08 18:40
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.33%EV -7.28%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.58%EV -4.97%E -0.882%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%EV -5.51%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 18:46
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 18:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -6.68%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 18:47
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 18:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-08 18:40
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 18:40
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.28%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 18:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -13.86%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-08 18:46
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -13.86%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -7.33%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-08 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.28%EV -7.28%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.86%EV -8.18%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-08 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.42%EV -13.26%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -9.02%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-08 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -7.28%E -4.69%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -11.55%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -11.55%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.16%EV -12.66%E -8.67%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -11.55%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-08 18:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.04%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.03%EV -12.39%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.68%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-08 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.04%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.03%EV -12.39%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.68%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-08 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.04%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.03%EV -12.39%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.68%E -3.70%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-08 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -14.07%E -2.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-08 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 18:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 18:40
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.27%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-08 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.04%EV -13.86%E -9.62%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.00%EV -15.76%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.95%EV -17.18%E -4.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%17.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.56%EV -10.87%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.18%EV -19.13%E -3.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 58.63%EV -15.65%E -11.10%K -38.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.40%EV -19.97%E -4.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.96%EV -19.51%E -5.66%K -7.96%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-08 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-11-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-11-08 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-11-08 18:50
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-11-08 18:45
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-11-08 18:40

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