Language:English
Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)
Prediction 42.33%2.36fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.20%42.42%42.37%45.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.132.152.2552.36%47.00%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panathinaikos (Visit)
Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV +0.739%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.98%27.89%27.83%28.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.333.303.6032.79%30.07%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.69%3.37fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -0.880%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%29.69%29.80%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.053.3035.71%32.39%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiakos Piraeus (Local): 42.33%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 27.98%; Draw: 29.69%. For Panathinaikos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.739%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -12.38%E -5.98%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.739%E +0.205%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -12.38%E -5.98%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.739%E +0.205%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -12.38%E -5.98%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.739%E +0.205%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -12.38%E -5.98%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.739%E +0.205%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -12.38%E -5.98%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.739%E +0.205%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -12.38%E -5.98%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.739%E +0.205%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -12.38%E -5.98%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.739%E +0.205%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -12.38%E -5.98%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.739%E +0.205%K +0.284%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.77%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.26%EV -1.22%E -0.346%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -4.70%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.06%E -0.588%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -13.23%E -6.45%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.06%E -0.588%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -7.73%E -3.54%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -2.62%E -0.753%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -8.56%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 17:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -5.19%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -5.19%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.61%E -8.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.61%E -8.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-11 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -17.04%E -8.69%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.26%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.02%E -0.613%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 17:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.92%EV -19.15%E -10.03%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -7.66%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -12.42%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-10-11 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.06%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.06%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -6.03%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -9.06%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.06%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 17:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.03%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 17:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -7.30%E -3.33%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.85%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.85%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.85%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.01%EV -15.77%E -7.92%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -11.85%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 29.82%EV -14.79%E -5.15%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-11 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.13%EV -14.08%E -6.93%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 27.97%EV -12.41%E -3.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.90%EV -10.04%E -3.31%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.25%E -4.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.25%E -4.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.25%E -4.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.25%E -4.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.25%E -4.28%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.87%E -6.02%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-11 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.22%EV -16.61%E -8.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.92%EV -14.65%E -4.80%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.86%EV -12.42%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-10-11 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 17:35 |