La escuela de los momios

Olympiakos Piraeus v AEL

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Predicción 85.91%1.16momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -3.38%
Kelly -31.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.81%85.90%85.69%87.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.091.081.1299.01%92.06%92.59%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AEL (Visitante)

Predicción 4.05%24.68momio equitativo
EV +26.01%
Ventaja +0.836%
Kelly +0.864%
Crecimiento +0.225%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 31.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.08%4.07%4.12%5.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
15.0020.9320.5031.106.67%4.78%4.88%3.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 10.04%9.96momio equitativo
EV +10.45%
Ventaja +0.950%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.109%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.57%10.03%10.19%13.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.358.698.1311.0015.75%11.50%12.31%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 87.99%EV -6.36%E -5.84%K -70.67%G +0.000%31.10I 3.22%NM 3.08%EV +26.01%E +0.836%K +0.864%G +0.225%10.74I 9.31%NM 8.93%EV +7.84%E +0.730%K +0.805%G +0.063%4.3%2026-03-22 16:45
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +17.50%E +0.604%K +0.625%G +0.109%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.406%E +0.041%K +0.045%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:54
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +17.50%E +0.604%K +0.625%G +0.109%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.406%E +0.041%K +0.045%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:55
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +17.50%E +0.604%K +0.625%G +0.109%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.406%E +0.041%K +0.045%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:54
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.89%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV +17.50%E +0.604%K +0.625%G +0.109%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.61%E -0.486%K -0.543%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 16:49
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 86.89%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.41%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.32%EV +13.45%E +0.480%K +0.498%G +0.067%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -4.61%E -0.486%K -0.543%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 16:53
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 87.38%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +5.35%E +0.206%K +0.214%G +0.011%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +5.43%E +0.517%K +0.571%G +0.031%6.0%2026-03-22 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +5.35%E +0.206%K +0.214%G +0.011%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:50
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.67%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.41%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +5.35%E +0.206%K +0.214%G +0.011%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.61%E -0.486%K -0.543%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:50
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.20%EV -8.94%E -8.43%K -148.97%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.56%EV +5.35%E +0.206%K +0.214%G +0.011%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +0.406%E +0.041%K +0.045%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.11%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.41%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.50%EV +5.35%E +0.206%K +0.214%G +0.011%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:54
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 86.15%EV -11.52%E -11.18%K -383.84%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.41%EV +5.35%E +0.206%K +0.214%G +0.011%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.44%EV -14.65%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 16:54
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 87.22%EV -6.36%E -5.84%K -70.67%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -6.81%E -0.296%K -0.309%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.04%G +0.109%5.2%2026-03-22 16:54
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 87.33%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -6.81%E -0.296%K -0.309%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.04%G +0.109%6.0%2026-03-22 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 87.33%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -6.81%E -0.296%K -0.309%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +10.45%E +0.950%K +1.04%G +0.109%6.0%2026-03-22 16:49
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.81%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.41%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.99%EV -6.81%E -0.296%K -0.309%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:49
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 86.49%EV -9.80%E -9.33%K -195.94%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.95%EV -6.81%E -0.296%K -0.309%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -4.61%E -0.486%K -0.543%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:55
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.16%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%22.50I 4.44%NM 4.24%EV -8.83%E -0.393%K -0.411%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 16:54
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 85.89%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.41%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.86%E -0.494%K -0.517%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -7.12%E -0.770%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 85.89%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.41%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV -10.86%E -0.494%K -0.517%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -7.12%E -0.770%K -0.864%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:49
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 85.59%EV -13.23%E -13.10%K -1323.33%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 3.93%EV -10.86%E -0.494%K -0.517%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.48%EV -17.17%E -2.08%K -2.37%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-22 16:54
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 85.26%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.20%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -14.91%E -0.710%K -0.746%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.23%EV -7.12%E -0.770%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:50
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -14.91%E -0.710%K -0.746%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:54
BoyleSports1.07I 93.46%NM 85.48%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.41%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36%EV -14.91%E -0.710%K -0.746%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:55
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.10%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.54%EV -18.96%E -0.948%K -0.998%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.30%EV -8.94%E -8.43%K -148.97%G +0.000%19.75I 5.06%NM 4.52%EV -19.98%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:51
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -27.07%E -1.50%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:49
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:49
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:50
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:49
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:50
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:49
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:50
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -19.68%E -2.46%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -9.63%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -24.70%E -3.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 83.21%EV -9.80%E -9.33%K -195.94%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.14%EV -31.12%E -1.83%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.65%EV -24.70%E -3.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 16:55
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 82.28%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV -35.17%E -2.20%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -24.70%E -3.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.28%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV -35.17%E -2.20%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -24.70%E -3.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 82.28%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.02%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.66%EV -35.17%E -2.20%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -24.70%E -3.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:50
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -6.36%E -5.84%K -70.67%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -35.17%E -2.20%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.70%E -3.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 80.81%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.41%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 5.58%EV -37.20%E -2.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 13.62%EV -36.24%E -5.71%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-22 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 82.82%EV -8.94%E -8.43%K -148.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.85%EV -39.22%E -2.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.33%EV -22.19%E -2.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.27%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.48%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.15%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%1.1%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.15%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%1.1%2026-03-22 16:55
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.94%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.82%2.1%2026-03-22 16:50
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.92%38.02I 2.63%NM 2.57%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.51%2.2%2026-03-22 16:55