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Olympiakos Piraeus v AEK Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)
Prediction 49.42%2.02fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.02%49.45%49.40%50.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.851.9658.82%54.30%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEK Athens (Visit)
Prediction 22.59%4.43fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.507%
Kelly -0.659%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.80%22.61%22.61%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.173.924.004.3331.55%25.52%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.78%27.94%27.99%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.203.4434.72%31.17%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiakos Piraeus (Local): 49.42%; AEK Athens (Visit): 22.59%; Draw: 27.99%. For AEK Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.33, with an expected value of -2.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.02%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.22%EV -28.40%E -8.96%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-27 07:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 08:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 08:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.15%EV -7.58%E -4.05%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.43%EV -5.58%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.42%EV -4.28%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -7.58%E -4.05%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.39%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.75%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -2.20%E -0.507%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.44%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 08:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-27 08:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 08:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -15.30%E -4.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-27 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -15.30%E -4.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-27 08:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -15.30%E -4.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-27 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -15.30%E -4.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-27 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.17%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.30%E -4.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -19.40%E -6.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-27 08:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.47%EV -10.05%E -5.52%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.67%EV -7.08%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 07:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -11.04%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.65%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-27 07:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -11.04%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -18.68%E -5.19%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-27 08:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.02%EV -14.00%E -8.05%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -15.30%E -4.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-27 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.49%EV -15.98%E -9.40%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -18.68%E -5.19%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.14%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-27 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.36%EV -15.98%E -9.40%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.68%EV -16.43%E -4.44%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -16.04%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-03-27 08:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.