Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete v Volos FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 16:30 UTC

Final: OFI Crete 2–0 Volos FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete (Local)

Prediction 36.46%2.74fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.40%36.52%36.46%37.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.492.502.6443.86%40.24%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Volos FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.02%3.03fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.74%33.04%33.03%34.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.9639.22%36.42%36.36%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.44%30.51%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.003.2037.04%33.11%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 36.46%; Volos FC (Visit): 33.02%; Draw: 30.52%. For Volos FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.96, with an expected value of -2.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.49%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -2.26%E -0.765%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.97%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.84%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.84%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 16:14
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.84%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:59
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 15:59
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 16:09
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -5.93%E -2.30%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -9.06%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:24
Suprabets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -7.53%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 16:14
Betsson🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.13%EV -6.65%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 15:59
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 15:59
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 15:58
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 16:19
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 16:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 16:14
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 15:55
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:04
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:59
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 16:14
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:00
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 15:59
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:00
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.05%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.44%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -15.16%E -5.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-23 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.52%EV -12.11%E -4.20%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 16:03
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.55%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.46%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.00%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 15:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.16%EV -13.58%E -5.73%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.10%EV -11.84%E -4.43%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.74%EV -17.60%E -6.52%K -10.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-23 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 37.31%EV -16.86%E -7.40%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.36%EV -15.80%E -6.20%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.33%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%17.6%2026-08-23 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69%1.1%2026-08-23 16:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.32%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%5.5%2026-08-23 16:25