The School of Odds
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OFI Crete v Volos FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete (Local)

Prediction 47.89%2.09fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%47.95%47.86%48.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.902.0055.56%52.71%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Volos FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.66%4.06fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%24.67%24.90%25.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.643.603.9030.30%27.49%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.47%27.38%27.24%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.073.293.303.5032.57%30.36%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 47.89%; Volos FC (Visit): 24.66%; Draw: 27.45%. For Volos FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -3.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 20:20
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.89%EV -10.74%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.25%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 07:25
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -3.84%E -0.984%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -6.62%E -3.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -3.84%E -0.984%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:49
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.77%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 05:58
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.53%E -4.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -6.30%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 08:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.01%E -4.74%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 01:55
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -11.41%E -6.17%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -18.63%E -5.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-23 05:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.77%EV -11.89%E -6.46%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.47%E -3.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -12.14%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -12.37%E -6.76%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -12.14%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.67%EV -12.84%E -7.06%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.79%EV -13.70%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.93%EV -13.80%E -7.67%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.10%EV -15.71%E -5.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-23 20:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.