The School of Odds
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OFI Crete v PAOK Thessaloniki

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 18:00 UTC

Final: OFI Crete 2–1 PAOK Thessaloniki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete (Local)

Prediction 20.13%4.97fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.60%20.09%20.15%21.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.534.504.9024.10%22.08%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)

Prediction 55.67%1.80fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -6.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.68%55.70%55.66%58.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.651.671.7166.67%60.51%60.06%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.20%4.13fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.20%24.19%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.733.754.0028.99%26.79%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 20.13%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 55.67%; Draw: 24.20%. For OFI Crete (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.90, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -12.60%E -8.02%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 17:49
Pinnacle🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -2.38%E -0.490%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.80%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.20%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 17:49
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.38%E -0.705%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.92%E -3.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 17:49
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.38%E -0.705%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -8.14%E -4.94%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 17:19
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -4.39%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.20%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 17:18
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:19
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:48
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.39%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:47
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -4.39%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 17:49
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.63%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 17:49
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -5.92%E -3.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 17:19
1xBet🎯4.61I 21.69%NM 20.29%EV -7.21%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -5.92%E -3.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -5.92%E -3.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -5.92%E -3.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:35
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:35
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:35
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:35
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.36%E -3.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -8.14%E -4.94%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 17:49
NordicBet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.12%EV -8.41%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.47%EV -8.14%E -4.94%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 17:49
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:19
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:35
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:35
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -7.59%E -4.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:48
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -7.59%E -4.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:49
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.14%E -4.94%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.04%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:35
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.14%E -4.94%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 17:49
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.81%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.81%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.37%E -6.44%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 17:18
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.37%E -6.44%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 17:18
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.43%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -7.59%E -4.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.43%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.14%E -4.94%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -11.43%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.23%EV -13.15%E -8.43%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -10.94%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 17:48
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.68%EV -9.81%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.68%EV -9.81%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.68%EV -9.81%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 17:10
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.84%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.81%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -13.45%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -8.70%E -5.31%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -6.83%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 17:49
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -13.45%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.36%EV -12.04%E -7.62%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-25 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.81%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 17:49
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.81%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 17:35
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -12.60%E -8.02%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-25 17:32
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 54.84%EV -13.15%E -8.43%K -23.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.80%EV -16.51%E -4.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-25 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 20.19%EV -16.47%E -3.97%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.87%EV -16.49%E -11.00%K -32.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -15.30%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%19.3%2026-10-25 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-10-25 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-10-25 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-10-25 17:49
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-10-25 17:49
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-10-25 17:40

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