The School of Odds
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OFI Crete v PAOK Thessaloniki

2026-10-25 18:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete (Local)

Prediction 22.53%4.44fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -0.945%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.28%22.33%22.53%23.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.034.104.3027.40%24.83%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)

Prediction 51.54%1.94fair odd
EV -7.23%
Edge -4.02%
Kelly -9.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.75%51.75%51.54%52.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.741.8059.52%57.29%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.85%25.92%25.93%26.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.6230.77%28.56%28.57%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: OFI Crete (Local): 22.53%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 51.54%; Draw: 25.93%. For OFI Crete (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -3.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.12%E -0.726%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -9.29%E -5.28%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 21:15
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -3.12%E -0.726%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -10.32%E -5.93%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 21:19
1xBet🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -3.57%E -0.834%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.28%EV -7.74%E -4.33%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -6.13%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 21:55
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -10.84%E -6.26%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 21:15
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.23%E -4.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 21:15
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.23%E -4.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 21:45
NordicBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -8.75%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.71%EV -8.26%E -4.64%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.65%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 21:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -13.71%E -3.58%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.64%EV -12.38%E -7.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-17 21:14
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.39%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.75%EV -12.38%E -7.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -15.73%E -4.84%K -6.99%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-17 21:33
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -16.64%E -4.50%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.30%EV -11.35%E -6.60%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -7.95%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-17 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.64%EV -17.76%E -4.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.35%EV -13.41%E -7.98%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.01%EV -10.54%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-17 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.