The School of Odds
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OFI Crete v Atromitos Athens

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

OFI Crete (Local)

Prediction 37.91%2.64fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.66%37.99%37.84%40.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.362.382.5647.62%42.37%42.02%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atromitos Athens (Visit)

Prediction 33.14%3.02fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.349%
Kelly +0.520%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%33.13%33.13%34.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.802.803.0539.22%35.66%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.384%
Kelly +0.538%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.18%28.88%29.02%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.153.5034.48%31.60%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 37.91%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 33.14%; Draw: 28.96%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV +1.34%E +0.384%K +0.538%G +0.007%5.1%2026-11-08 16:05
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -10.92%E -4.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -3.00%E -0.895%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.83%EV -3.33%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.14%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-08 16:10
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -5.99%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-08 16:05
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 15:44
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.07%E +0.349%K +0.520%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.07%E +0.349%K +0.520%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.07%E +0.349%K +0.520%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.07%E +0.349%K +0.520%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.07%E +0.349%K +0.520%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 15:40
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.07%E +0.349%K +0.520%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.07%E +0.349%K +0.520%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +1.07%E +0.349%K +0.520%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 15:40
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.92%E -4.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-08 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.18%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -5.90%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-08 16:05
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -8.26%E -3.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.34%EV -4.24%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.03%EV -6.76%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.66%EV -2.95%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.01%EV -8.54%E -3.10%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.66%EV -2.95%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.01%EV -8.54%E -3.10%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 16:05
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 15:45
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-08 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.99%EV -8.26%E -3.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 15:45
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-08 16:03
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-08 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.50%EV -15.84%E -7.14%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -9.37%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-08 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-08 16:00
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:05
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:05
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.12%E -2.91%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-08 16:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-08 15:55
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 15:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.16%E -4.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.16%E -4.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.85%EV -17.74%E -8.17%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-08 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.85%EV -17.74%E -8.17%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-08 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.85%EV -17.74%E -8.17%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-08 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -14.71%E -6.54%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -15.50%E -6.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.83%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-08 15:45
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 16:00
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-08 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.50%EV -13.95%E -6.14%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-08 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -20.39%E -9.71%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.25%EV -20.39%E -9.71%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.32%EV -15.50%E -6.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.42%EV -16.03%E -5.53%K -8.44%G +0.000%21.3%2026-11-08 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-11-08 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-11-08 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-11-08 16:05
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-11-08 16:10
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-11-08 16:05

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