Language:English
OFI Crete v Asteras Tripolis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
OFI Crete (Local)
Prediction 40.36%2.48fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%40.45%40.34%42.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.262.282.4148.08%44.27%43.86%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Asteras Tripolis (Visit)
Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.51%29.34%29.45%30.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.143.2834.48%31.94%31.85%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.19%30.21%30.21%31.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.15%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 40.36%; Asteras Tripolis (Visit): 29.45%; Draw: 30.19%. For OFI Crete (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.41, with an expected value of -2.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.96%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.36%EV -3.41%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.67%EV -5.20%E -1.66%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.74%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.74%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -4.74%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.93%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.60%EV -7.83%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -8.22%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 15:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -8.13%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -5.81%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 15:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -8.13%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -5.81%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 15:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.16%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.02%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:52 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 15:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -9.18%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 15:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.18%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 15:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.18%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.18%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.18%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.05%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.20%E -5.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.20%E -5.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -11.20%E -5.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.20%E -5.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.20%E -5.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.20%E -5.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.20%E -5.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -11.20%E -5.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -16.98%E -6.17%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -12.81%E -5.93%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -12.81%E -5.93%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -12.81%E -5.93%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.22%E -6.15%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -13.22%E -6.15%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.47%EV -14.02%E -4.80%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.51%EV -14.87%E -5.27%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-20 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.63%EV -15.24%E -7.26%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.42%EV -14.60%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.94%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-20 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.10%EV -16.04%E -7.71%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.52%EV -9.60%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.38%EV -10.03%E -3.37%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-20 15:53 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.07%EV -16.04%E -7.71%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.96%EV -13.13%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.97%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 15:55 |