La scuola delle quote

OFI Crete v Aris Thessaloniki

Inizio: 2026-05-03 14:00 UTC

Finale: OFI Crete 0–2 Aris Thessaloniki

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

OFI Crete (Casa)

Previsione 30.04%3.33quota equa
EV +0.629%
Vantaggio +0.188%
Kelly +0.268%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.24%29.98%30.19%31.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.043.003.3535.09%32.92%33.33%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aris Thessaloniki (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.46%2.41quota equa
EV -3.39%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.52%41.55%41.33%43.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.40%45.45%42.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.50%3.51quota equa
EV -3.11%
Vantaggio -0.915%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.44%28.47%28.48%30.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.12%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV +0.629%E +0.188%K +0.268%G +0.002%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 13:24
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -0.873%E -0.265%K -0.380%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:35
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -1.17%E -0.357%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -6.82%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 13:35
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -6.29%E -2.78%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 13:55
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -6.29%E -2.78%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 13:55
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.11%E -0.915%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:00
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Suprabets3.18I 31.45%NM 29.43%EV -4.48%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -6.29%E -2.78%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.16%EV -8.53%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 13:50
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:55
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:54
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 13:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 13:54
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 13:38
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.38%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:53
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.52%EV -9.28%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.45%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.03%EV -9.38%E -2.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.11%E -0.915%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 13:40
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:16
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:16
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:16
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 13:50
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 12:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:15
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:16
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:01
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 13:35
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -17.36%E -5.99%K -9.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.93%E -6.23%K -9.54%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-03 13:35
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.39%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.39%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 12:20
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -11.39%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 13:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.89%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.89%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.89%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%EV -12.89%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.60%EV -14.17%E -6.84%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.51%E -4.84%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-03 13:50
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%EV -13.49%E -4.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.26%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.37%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 13:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -13.49%E -4.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -14.39%E -5.05%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.04%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 13:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-05-03 13:55