La escuela de los momios

OFI Crete v Aris Thessaloniki

Inicio: 2026-05-03 14:00 UTC

Final: OFI Crete 0–2 Aris Thessaloniki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

OFI Crete (Local)

Predicción 30.04%3.33momio equitativo
EV +0.629%
Ventaja +0.188%
Kelly +0.268%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%29.98%30.19%31.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.043.003.3535.09%32.92%33.33%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Predicción 41.46%2.41momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.52%41.55%41.33%43.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.40%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.50%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -0.915%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.47%28.48%30.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.12%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV +0.629%E +0.188%K +0.268%G +0.002%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 13:24
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -0.873%E -0.265%K -0.380%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:35
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -1.17%E -0.357%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -6.82%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 13:35
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -6.29%E -2.78%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 13:55
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -6.29%E -2.78%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 13:55
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.11%E -0.915%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:00
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.88%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Suprabets3.18I 31.45%NM 29.43%EV -4.48%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.41%EV -6.29%E -2.78%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.16%EV -8.53%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 13:50
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:55
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:54
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 13:55
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 13:54
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.88%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 13:38
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -7.96%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.38%E -2.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 13:53
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.52%EV -9.28%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.45%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.03%EV -9.38%E -2.95%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.11%E -0.915%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 13:40
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:16
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:16
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:16
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 13:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 13:50
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 12:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:15
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:16
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:01
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 13:35
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -17.36%E -5.99%K -9.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -9.88%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.93%E -6.23%K -9.54%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-03 13:35
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.39%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.39%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 12:20
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -11.39%E -3.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 13:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.89%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.89%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.89%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%EV -12.89%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.60%EV -14.17%E -6.84%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -14.51%E -4.84%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-03 13:50
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%EV -13.49%E -4.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.26%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.37%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 13:15
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -13.49%E -4.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -14.39%E -5.05%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.04%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-05-03 13:55