Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.50
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levadiakos (Local): 14.89%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 60.79%; Draw: 24.31%. For Levadiakos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.50, with an expected value of -3.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.19%E -0.491%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.17%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 21:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -10.64%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 21:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.27%EV -21.81%E -4.15%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.32%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-21 21:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 188.5% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33% | 188.5% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-21 21:40 |