La escuela de los momios

Levadiakos v Atromitos Athens

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levadiakos (Local)

Predicción 45.34%2.21momio equitativo
EV -4.80%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.80%45.45%45.41%47.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.012.022.1055.56%49.72%49.50%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atromitos Athens (Visitante)

Predicción 25.24%3.96momio equitativo
EV +6.52%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +2.02%
Crecimiento +0.132%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.80%25.05%25.23%26.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.504.2230.30%27.76%28.57%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.42%3.40momio equitativo
EV +0.040%
Ventaja +0.012%
Kelly +0.017%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.06%29.51%29.36%30.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.113.103.4036.36%32.19%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -6.16%E -2.97%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.80%EV +6.52%E +1.54%K +2.02%G +0.132%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.73%EV -7.90%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 16:45
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV +3.49%E +0.851%K +1.13%G +0.039%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -9.38%E -3.04%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:39
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV +3.49%E +0.851%K +1.13%G +0.039%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -9.38%E -3.04%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:40
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.76%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +0.964%E +0.241%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -11.14%E -3.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV +0.964%E +0.241%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.79%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:49
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -11.60%E -5.95%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV +0.964%E +0.241%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.79%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:54
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -11.60%E -5.95%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -1.56%E -0.400%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -2.82%E -0.733%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.60%E -5.95%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 16:50
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.85%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.74%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.41%EV -6.43%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:49
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:49
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:50
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.79%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:44
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.79%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 16:44
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV +0.040%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 16:50
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 15:49
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 16:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:34
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:34
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.79%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -13.41%E -7.02%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 16:39
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -13.41%E -7.02%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -15.26%E -5.30%K -8.12%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.03%EV -12.05%E -6.21%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.39%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -8.79%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 16:48
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:44
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:15
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.42%E -4.17%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -7.52%E -3.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.79%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.76%EV -14.77%E -7.86%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-22 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -13.41%E -7.02%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -17.61%E -6.29%K -9.79%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-22 11:14
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.11%EV -18.40%E -10.22%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.71%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.18%EV -19.09%E -6.94%K -10.91%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-22 16:50
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.92%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:49
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.92%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.92%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.92%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.02%EV -11.14%E -5.68%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -12.92%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:50
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 10:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 16:54
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -10.24%E -5.17%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 09:30
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 15:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.18%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.71%EV -11.14%E -5.68%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -16.70%E -5.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -13.41%E -7.02%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -16.70%E -5.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-22 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-03-22 16:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-22 16:45
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-03-22 16:55