The School of Odds
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Kalamata FC v OFI Crete

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 13:00 UTC

Final: Kalamata FC 4–3 OFI Crete

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalamata FC (Local)

Prediction 34.55%2.89fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%34.45%34.61%36.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.622.602.7642.02%38.22%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

OFI Crete (Visit)

Prediction 36.62%2.73fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.657%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.70%36.68%36.64%39.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.532.552.7046.51%39.47%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.83%3.47fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%28.87%28.75%30.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.133.3434.48%31.87%32.00%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalamata FC (Local): 34.55%; OFI Crete (Visit): 36.62%; Draw: 28.83%. For OFI Crete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.92%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23%EV -2.58%E -0.971%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.85%EV -3.72%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 12:15
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.20%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 12:19
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -4.98%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:14
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -5.33%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -4.05%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 12:49
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 12:39
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.78%E -1.84%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 12:53
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.32%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 12:53
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.32%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 12:53
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.97%EV -9.91%E -4.03%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.71%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.10%E -5.04%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -8.09%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.58%E -0.971%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -8.09%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.58%E -0.971%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 12:49
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.32%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 12:39
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -4.78%E -1.84%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 12:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.20%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 12:54
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 12:44
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 12:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.27%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -8.44%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.63%EV -16.87%E -7.43%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-18 12:33
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 12:54
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 12:44
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 12:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 12:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 12:44
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.12%E -0.414%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:09
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.12%E -0.414%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.12%E -0.414%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:09
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.12%E -0.414%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:09
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.12%E -0.414%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.12%E -0.414%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.12%E -0.414%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.12%E -0.414%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:10
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 12:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.27%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.27%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 12:39
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.27%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 12:39
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.27%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 12:39
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -12.10%E -5.04%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -9.20%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 12:15
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -12.84%E -5.39%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 06:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.89%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.20%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.94%EV -11.89%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.07%EV -21.26%E -9.89%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-18 12:34
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.62%E -5.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.44%E -3.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-18 12:39
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.69%EV -13.62%E -5.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.40%EV -10.27%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -16.41%E -5.66%K -8.63%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-18 12:42
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.35%EV -13.62%E -5.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.54%EV -13.94%E -5.93%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -14.96%E -5.07%K -7.67%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-18 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -15.35%E -6.27%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.08%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-18 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -15.35%E -6.27%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.08%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-18 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -15.35%E -6.27%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -6.61%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.08%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-18 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -17.77%E -7.47%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.97%EV -10.27%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -14.96%E -5.07%K -7.67%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-18 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-18 12:55
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.77%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.71%2.0%2026-10-18 12:55
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-10-18 12:24