The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kalamata FC v Iraklis FC

Kickoff: 2026-11-02 17:30 UTC

Final: Kalamata FC 1–1 Iraklis FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalamata FC (Local)

Prediction 45.43%2.20fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.36%45.55%45.40%47.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.812.032.032.1555.25%49.26%49.26%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iraklis FC (Visit)

Prediction 25.28%3.96fair odd
EV +8.72%
Edge +2.03%
Kelly +2.64%
Growth +0.231%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.45%24.99%25.22%27.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.593.504.3032.26%27.84%28.57%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.29%3.41fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%29.46%29.38%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.103.103.3036.36%32.24%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalamata FC (Local): 45.43%; Iraklis FC (Visit): 25.28%; Draw: 29.29%. For Iraklis FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV +8.72%E +2.03%K +2.64%G +0.231%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -13.61%E -4.61%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -11.41%E -5.85%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +8.72%E +2.03%K +2.64%G +0.231%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -13.61%E -4.61%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -13.68%E -7.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +6.19%E +1.47%K +1.94%G +0.120%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-02 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -13.23%E -6.93%K -14.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV +6.19%E +1.47%K +1.94%G +0.120%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -15.66%E -5.44%K -8.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-02 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.91%EV -4.60%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.86%EV +2.15%E +0.532%K +0.707%G +0.015%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.22%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.41%E -5.85%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV +1.14%E +0.284%K +0.379%G +0.004%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -15.66%E -5.44%K -8.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-02 17:20
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.01%EV -9.59%E -4.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.57%EV +0.378%E +0.095%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.42%EV -6.87%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.28%EV -5.51%E -2.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -0.127%E -0.032%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.28%EV -5.51%E -2.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -0.127%E -0.032%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -2.66%E -0.690%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.29%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 17:25
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-02 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -11.41%E -5.85%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -19.46%E -7.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-02 17:25
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.60%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.29%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.29%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 17:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.36%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-02 17:24
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.36%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-02 17:24
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 17:25
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-02 17:20
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -3.69%E -1.74%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -3.36%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-02 17:24
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.29%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-02 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.91%EV -7.78%E -3.83%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-02 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.75%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-02 17:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -4.60%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-02 17:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-02 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-02 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.29%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-02 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-02 17:25
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-02 17:25
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-02 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-02 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.39%EV -14.14%E -7.48%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.56%EV -10.09%E -3.29%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-02 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 17:05
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 17:05
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.82%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-02 17:25
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.21%E -2.97%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-02 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.80%EV -11.41%E -5.85%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -15.30%E -4.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.12%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-02 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.97%EV -11.87%E -6.12%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -16.56%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.6%2026-11-02 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 45.62%EV -17.77%E -9.82%K -21.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -17.83%E -5.49%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 28.97%EV -16.54%E -5.80%K -8.94%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-02 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -7.32%E -3.59%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-02 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -7.32%E -3.59%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-02 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -7.32%E -3.59%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.68%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-02 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -19.09%E -5.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -12.14%E -4.05%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.6%2026-11-02 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.54%EV -10.96%E -5.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.53%EV -21.62%E -6.97%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.93%EV -13.61%E -4.61%K -6.98%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-02 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%0.6%2026-11-02 17:25
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%0.9%2026-11-02 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-11-02 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-11-02 17:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%2.6%2026-11-02 17:25

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