The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Iraklis FC v Panathinaikos

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iraklis FC (Local)

Prediction 9.81%10.20fair odd
EV +7.87%
Edge +0.715%
Kelly +0.787%
Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.53%9.82%9.88%11.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.309.039.0011.0013.70%11.07%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visit)

Prediction 72.65%1.38fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -7.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.95%72.64%72.52%74.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.281.281.3484.03%78.15%78.13%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.54%5.70fair odd
EV -0.695%
Edge -0.123%
Kelly -0.149%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.58%17.54%17.60%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.355.015.005.6622.99%19.97%20.00%17.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iraklis FC (Local): 9.81%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 72.65%; Draw: 17.54%. For Iraklis FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.20. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +7.87%E +0.715%K +0.787%G +0.062%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 07:34
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +7.87%E +0.715%K +0.787%G +0.062%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.42%EV -8.46%E -6.72%K -32.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -3.50%E -0.637%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 15:04
SportsBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +2.96%E +0.282%K +0.312%G +0.009%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.96%EV -9.92%E -8.00%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -7.01%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV +2.96%E +0.282%K +0.312%G +0.009%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -11.37%E -9.32%K -51.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -3.50%E -0.637%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-08 15:20
Pinnacle🎯10.33I 9.68%NM 9.28%EV +1.30%E +0.125%K +0.139%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.77%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.94%EV -0.695%E -0.123%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 15:10
DraftKings🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -1.94%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.50%E -0.637%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 14:45
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.94%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 14:45
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.94%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.94%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -1.94%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 14:45
Bet Right🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -1.94%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.74%E -6.09%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 10:35
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -1.94%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.37%E -9.32%K -51.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -1.94%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -12.82%E -10.68%K -64.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-08 15:15
1xBet🎯9.54I 10.48%NM 9.77%EV -6.45%E -0.676%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.67%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.56%EV -11.92%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -6.84%E -0.720%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.89%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -6.84%E -0.720%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.52%EV -7.74%E -6.09%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-08 10:35
Betsson🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.03%EV -7.82%E -0.832%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -7.82%E -0.832%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -7.82%E -0.832%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 15:00
BetMGM🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.26%EV -9.29%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.47%EV -4.83%E -3.69%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -3.50%E -0.637%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 15:05
Bovada🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 9.92%EV -9.29%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-08 15:19
BetUS🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 9.92%EV -9.29%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-08 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 9.46%EV -9.29%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.31%EV -12.09%E -10.00%K -57.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-08 15:09
NordicBet🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.13%EV -10.77%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -9.64%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-08 15:05
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -11.75%E -1.31%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.19%E -7.35%K -36.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -3.50%E -0.637%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 14:14
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -11.75%E -1.31%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.19%E -7.35%K -36.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-08 15:15
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -11.75%E -1.31%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.89%EV -9.19%E -7.35%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -19.29%E -4.19%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-08 07:34
Codere (IT)🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.54%EV -15.67%E -1.82%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.34%EV -7.74%E -6.09%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-08 15:05
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 15:00
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 15:00
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 15:00
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -15.78%E -3.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -16.65%E -1.96%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.94%EV -11.37%E -9.32%K -51.67%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.73%EV -13.15%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-08 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -7.74%E -6.09%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -5.26%E -0.974%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-08 15:05
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-08 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-08 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 15:05
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -21.05%E -4.68%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-08 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -21.05%E -4.68%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-08 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -21.05%E -4.68%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-08 15:00
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -21.55%E -2.69%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.19%E -7.35%K -36.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -12.28%E -2.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-08 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -26.46%E -3.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 70.50%EV -9.92%E -8.00%K -41.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.84%EV -14.03%E -2.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-08 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.40%EV -26.46%E -3.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 68.95%EV -9.92%E -8.00%K -41.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.65%EV -23.68%E -5.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-08 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 11.35%EV -28.42%E -3.89%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 69.61%EV -13.55%E -11.38%K -71.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.04%EV -23.68%E -5.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-08 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-11-08 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-11-08 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-11-08 15:05
Kalshi◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%0.9%2026-11-08 11:25
Smarkets◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.95%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.3%2026-11-08 14:45

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