Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iraklis FC v Levadiakos

2026-10-11 14:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iraklis FC (Local)

Prediction 38.82%2.58fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.52%38.70%38.92%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.352.4746.51%42.59%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levadiakos (Visit)

Prediction 32.81%3.05fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.89%32.79%32.79%33.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.16%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd
EV -6.36%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.47%28.51%28.29%29.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.51%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Iraklis FC (Local): 38.82%; Levadiakos (Visit): 32.81%; Draw: 28.37%. For Iraklis FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.47, with an expected value of -4.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.24%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 13:01
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 13:35
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 13:35
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 15:52
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -5.51%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 12:52
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-17 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-17 12:58
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 13:00
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -14.04%E -5.36%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-17 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -14.70%E -5.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-17 13:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -14.60%E -6.64%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-17 12:56
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.05%EV -16.54%E -7.69%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.89%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.05%EV -12.89%E -4.20%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-17 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-17 13:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-17 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-17 13:51