The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iraklis FC v AE Kifisia FC

2026-10-24 16:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iraklis FC (Local)

Prediction 35.34%2.83fair odd
EV -7.41%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.40%35.34%35.34%36.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.532.592.6242.19%39.57%38.61%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AE Kifisia FC (Visit)

Prediction 35.02%2.86fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.02%35.02%35.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.542.7040.82%39.11%39.37%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.64%3.37fair odd
EV -6.93%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.65%29.64%29.64%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.043.053.1434.48%32.93%32.79%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Iraklis FC (Local): 35.34%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 35.02%; Draw: 29.64%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -5.44%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.94%EV -6.84%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.60%EV -6.93%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 11:12
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 10:44
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.70%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 12:25
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.70%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 12:24
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-11 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -8.82%E -3.42%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.28%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 10:41
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.69%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.40%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -14.05%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-11 12:33
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-11 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-11 10:43
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.42%EV -16.25%E -6.85%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.12%EV -11.40%E -4.50%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.46%EV -13.16%E -4.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-11 10:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.