The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Atromitos Athens v Panserraikos FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 16:00 UTC

Final: Atromitos Athens 6–0 Panserraikos FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prediction 96.43%1.04fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly +0.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.18%96.43%96.43%99.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panserraikos FC (Visit)

Prediction 1.66%60.36fair odd
EV +1558.36%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +24.28%

assuming max odds 1001.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.10%1.66%1.66%49.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.02237.5829.001001.0098.04%0.42%3.45%0.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 1.92%52.18fair odd
EV +860.21%
Edge +1.72%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +14.80%

assuming max odds 501.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.20%1.92%1.92%3.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
26.00180.29101.00501.003.85%0.55%0.99%0.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atromitos Athens (Local): 96.43%; Panserraikos FC (Visit): 1.66%; Draw: 1.92%. For Panserraikos FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 60.36. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1001.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1558.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.65%EV -3.57%E -3.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%1001.00I 0.10%NM 0.10%EV +1558.36%E +1.56%K +1.56%G +24.28%401.00I 0.25%NM 0.25%EV +668.55%E +1.67%K +1.67%G +11.17%0.3%2026-05-21 15:44
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.60%EV -3.57%E -3.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%501.00I 0.20%NM 0.20%EV +730.01%E +1.46%K +1.46%G +10.66%501.00I 0.20%NM 0.20%EV +860.21%E +1.72%K +1.72%G +14.80%0.4%2026-05-21 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.06%EV -3.57%E -3.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.97%EV +67.33%E +0.667%K +0.673%G +0.453%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.97%EV +93.58%E +0.926%K +0.936%G +0.876%2.0%2026-05-21 15:40
Betsson🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.20%EV -3.57%E -3.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV -51.96%E -1.79%K -1.86%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV -50.17%E -1.93%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.20%EV -3.57%E -3.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV -51.96%E -1.79%K -1.86%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV -50.17%E -1.93%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 15:40
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.29%EV -3.57%E -3.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 49.31%EV -98.31%E -96.38%K -4915.51%G +0.000%126.00I 0.79%NM 0.40%EV +141.49%E +1.12%K +1.13%G +1.60%98.8%2026-05-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.18%EV -3.57%E -3.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 49.20%EV -98.31%E -96.38%K -4915.51%G +0.000%81.00I 1.23%NM 0.62%EV +55.24%E +0.682%K +0.691%G +0.381%99.3%2026-05-21 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.33%303.03I 0.33%NM 0.33%294.12I 0.34%NM 0.34%0.7%2026-05-21 15:50
Kalshi◎1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.98%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.98%2.0%2026-05-21 15:30