L’École des cotes

Atromitos Athens v Panetolikos Agrinio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 16:32 UTC

Score final : Atromitos Athens 1–2 Panetolikos Agrinio

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prévision 48.62%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.55%48.58%48.61%50.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.901.912.0057.14%52.52%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.51%4.25cote équitable
EV +0.622%
Avantage +0.145%
Kelly +0.190%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.84%23.58%23.55%26.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.763.754.2829.85%26.56%26.67%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.87%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.704%
Kelly -0.985%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.53%27.84%27.84%28.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.24%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.84%EV +0.622%E +0.145%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -5.81%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 16:29
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV +0.152%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.04%EV -4.69%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:29
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:30
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.45%EV -8.32%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:25
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -9.08%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.61%E -0.880%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:29
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:30
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:29
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.49%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:23
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.49%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:29
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.08%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.66%E -2.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.11%EV -11.51%E -6.32%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -11.13%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.25%EV -8.59%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 16:28
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.75%E -1.38%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -2.46%E -0.704%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 16:29
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 16:28
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 16:29
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 16:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 16:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.96%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-09 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -14.19%E -3.89%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.10%EV -10.53%E -5.73%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -14.19%E -3.89%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 16:29
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 48.92%EV -14.91%E -8.52%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.46%EV -14.19%E -3.89%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.62%EV -13.61%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-09 16:30
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:29
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:29
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -10.53%E -5.73%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-09 16:30
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -18.89%E -5.48%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 16:29
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -21.24%E -6.34%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-05-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-09 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-09 16:30
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-05-09 16:30