La escuela de los momios

Atromitos Athens v Panetolikos Agrinio

Inicio: 2026-05-09 16:32 UTC

Final: Atromitos Athens 1–2 Panetolikos Agrinio

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Predicción 48.62%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.55%48.58%48.61%50.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.901.912.0057.14%52.52%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante)

Predicción 23.51%4.25momio equitativo
EV +0.622%
Ventaja +0.145%
Kelly +0.190%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.84%23.58%23.55%26.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.763.754.2829.85%26.56%26.67%23.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.87%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.704%
Kelly -0.985%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.53%27.84%27.84%28.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.24%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.84%EV +0.622%E +0.145%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -5.81%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 16:29
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV +0.152%E +0.036%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.04%EV -4.69%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:29
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:30
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.45%EV -8.32%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:25
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -9.08%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.61%E -0.880%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:29
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:30
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:29
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.49%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:23
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.49%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:29
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.08%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.66%E -2.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.11%EV -11.51%E -6.32%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -11.13%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.25%EV -8.59%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 16:28
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.75%E -1.38%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -2.46%E -0.704%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 16:29
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 16:28
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 16:29
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 16:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 16:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.96%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.84%E -3.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-09 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -14.19%E -3.89%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.10%EV -10.53%E -5.73%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -14.19%E -3.89%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.82%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 16:29
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 48.92%EV -14.91%E -8.52%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.46%EV -14.19%E -3.89%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.62%EV -13.61%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-09 16:30
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -15.36%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:29
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -16.54%E -4.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:29
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:29
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -10.53%E -5.73%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -9.43%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -11.02%E -6.02%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -17.72%E -5.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-09 16:30
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -18.89%E -5.48%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -6.64%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 16:29
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -21.24%E -6.34%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-05-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-09 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-09 16:30
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-05-09 16:30