Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atromitos Athens v Asteras Tripolis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prévision 41.02%2.44cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.23%41.04%41.13%45.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.162.202.3451.81%46.27%45.45%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Asteras Tripolis (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.71%3.48cote équitable
EV +7.65%
Avantage +2.04%
Kelly +2.78%
Croissance +0.213%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.47%28.69%28.53%30.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.313.253.7535.09%30.23%30.77%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.28%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.494%
Kelly -0.713%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%30.27%30.34%31.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.18%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atromitos Athens (Local) : 41.02% ; Asteras Tripolis (Visiteur) : 28.71% ; Match nul : 30.28%. Pour Asteras Tripolis (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.48. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +7.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV +6.21%E +1.68%K +2.30%G +0.143%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 14:34
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV +6.21%E +1.68%K +2.30%G +0.143%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV +6.21%E +1.68%K +2.30%G +0.143%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -18.78%E -9.49%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV +4.78%E +1.31%K +1.80%G +0.086%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.97%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.27%EV -20.83%E -10.80%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV +1.91%E +0.537%K +0.748%G +0.014%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -1.60%E -0.494%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.35%EV -6.07%E -2.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.10%EV -3.26%E -0.967%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:14
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -6.07%E -2.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.81%EV -7.96%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:45
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:53
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 14:54
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 14:51
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:59
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:59
Suprabets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.53%E -3.82%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:16
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:59
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:45
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:45
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Betsson🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 00:04
NordicBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -10.44%E -3.35%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-24 01:34
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 14:49
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.01%EV -11.60%E -3.97%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 15:04
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.70%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.78%EV -14.74%E -4.96%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -15.32%E -5.19%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -15.32%E -5.19%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-24 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -18.19%E -6.38%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-24 00:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.15%6.0%2026-04-24 00:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%11.9%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%13.3%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%13.3%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%13.3%2026-04-23 22:10