La escuela de los momios

Atromitos Athens v Asteras Tripolis

Inicio: 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Predicción 41.02%2.44momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.23%41.04%41.13%45.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.162.202.3451.81%46.27%45.45%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Asteras Tripolis (Visitante)

Predicción 28.71%3.48momio equitativo
EV +7.65%
Ventaja +2.04%
Kelly +2.78%
Crecimiento +0.213%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.47%28.69%28.53%30.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.313.253.7535.09%30.23%30.77%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.28%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.494%
Kelly -0.713%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.27%30.34%31.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.2535.71%33.18%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:35
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:35
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -17.14%E -8.49%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +7.65%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.213%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:34
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV +6.21%E +1.68%K +2.30%G +0.143%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 14:34
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV +6.21%E +1.68%K +2.30%G +0.143%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV +6.21%E +1.68%K +2.30%G +0.143%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 14:35
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -18.78%E -9.49%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV +4.78%E +1.31%K +1.80%G +0.086%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.97%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 14:35
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.27%EV -20.83%E -10.80%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV +1.91%E +0.537%K +0.748%G +0.014%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 14:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.40%E -0.706%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -1.60%E -0.494%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.35%EV -6.07%E -2.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.10%EV -3.26%E -0.967%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:14
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -6.07%E -2.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.81%EV -7.96%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:45
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:53
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 14:54
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 14:51
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.27%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:59
Suprabets2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.53%E -3.82%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.70%E -2.06%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:16
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:59
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:59
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:45
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:25
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.14%E -2.54%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Betsson2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 00:04
NordicBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:04
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -10.44%E -3.35%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-24 01:34
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 14:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:04
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.01%EV -11.60%E -3.97%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -11.01%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 15:04
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -13.88%E -4.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 14:55
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.70%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.78%EV -14.74%E -4.96%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -15.23%E -5.44%K -8.46%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -15.32%E -5.19%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -7.66%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -15.32%E -5.19%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.20%E -4.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-24 00:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -13.86%E -6.60%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -18.19%E -6.38%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -10.69%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-24 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.15%6.0%2026-04-24 00:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%11.9%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%13.3%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%13.3%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%13.3%2026-04-23 22:10