Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atromitos Athens v AEK Athens

2026-10-17 16:30 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prediction 14.08%7.10fair odd
EV +5.62%
Edge +0.749%
Kelly +0.865%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.30%14.06%14.08%16.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.867.007.5018.18%14.58%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AEK Athens (Visit)

Prediction 64.61%1.55fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -9.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.98%64.29%64.61%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.411.4873.53%70.62%70.92%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.31%4.69fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.59%21.65%21.31%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.164.204.5025.64%24.02%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atromitos Athens (Local): 14.08%; AEK Athens (Visit): 64.61%; Draw: 21.31%. For Atromitos Athens (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.10. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +5.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +5.62%E +0.749%K +0.865%G +0.049%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -16.90%E -4.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +5.62%E +0.749%K +0.865%G +0.049%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -16.90%E -4.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +5.62%E +0.749%K +0.865%G +0.049%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -16.90%E -4.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 16:50
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +5.62%E +0.749%K +0.865%G +0.049%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.96%E -4.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -16.90%E -4.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.42%E -0.203%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -9.55%E -6.82%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.12%E -0.915%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 16:55
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.42%E -0.203%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.61%E -5.32%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -12.64%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 16:53
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -1.42%E -0.203%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.90%E -6.31%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -9.44%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 16:55
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.42%E -0.203%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.03%EV -10.19%E -7.33%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.25%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 16:55
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -1.42%E -0.203%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -10.84%E -7.85%K -28.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -6.25%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 16:55
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.42%E -0.203%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.55%E -6.82%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 16:55
1xBet🎯6.52I 15.34%NM 14.33%EV -8.18%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -4.38%E -2.96%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -11.57%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 16:50
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.46%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.13%E -8.92%K -33.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.74%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 16:55
Pinnacle🎯6.33I 15.80%NM 14.85%EV -10.86%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.94%EV -5.02%E -3.42%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.22%EV -5.61%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:55
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -15.50%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -12.13%E -8.92%K -33.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -16.90%E -4.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 16:59
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -22.55%E -4.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.55%E -6.82%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.51%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-10 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%171.1%2026-09-28 08:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%171.1%2026-09-28 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.92%181.3%2026-10-10 14:00