The School of Odds
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Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos

2026-10-24 16:30 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Prediction 38.29%2.61fair odd
EV -6.19%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.61%38.29%38.13%39.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.4544.44%42.64%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levadiakos (Visit)

Prediction 33.13%3.02fair odd
EV -6.57%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.51%33.13%33.28%33.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.8238.46%36.80%36.36%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV -5.70%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.65%28.58%28.60%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.143.153.3033.90%31.85%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 38.29%; Levadiakos (Visit): 33.13%; Draw: 28.58%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -5.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.01%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 11:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -6.57%E -2.33%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 11:20
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -6.19%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -6.57%E -2.33%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 11:17
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.56%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.70%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 11:18
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.70%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 11:17
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.13%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-11 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -12.20%E -4.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -12.84%E -4.21%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.29%EV -13.84%E -6.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.51%EV -12.20%E -4.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.20%EV -15.70%E -5.32%K -8.05%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 11:18
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -13.84%E -6.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -13.86%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-11 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -13.84%E -6.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -13.86%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-11 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.