Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Asteras Tripolis v Kalamata FC

2026-11-08 15:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Prediction 46.85%2.13fair odd
EV -6.31%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -6.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.56%46.64%46.85%47.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.941.952.0054.95%51.67%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalamata FC (Visit)

Prediction 25.56%3.91fair odd
EV -6.70%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%25.76%25.56%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.603.6530.77%28.53%27.78%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV -6.19%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%27.60%27.59%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.303.4032.26%30.66%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 46.85%; Kalamata FC (Visit): 25.56%; Draw: 27.59%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -6.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 15:44
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.31%E -3.15%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 15:45
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -7.71%E -3.92%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-19 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -8.18%E -4.17%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 16:50
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-19 15:46
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-19 15:44
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.65%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-19 16:48
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.65%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-19 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -10.52%E -5.51%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -15.65%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.46%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-19 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -12.87%E -6.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -14.37%E -4.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-19 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.90%EV -13.80%E -7.50%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -16.92%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-19 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.38%EV -14.74%E -8.10%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.51%EV -13.60%E -4.02%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.11%EV -12.26%E -3.85%K -5.62%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-19 15:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.