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Asteras Tripolis v Iraklis FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.78%47.07%46.90%48.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.962.0654.64%51.13%51.15%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iraklis FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.46%4.09fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.726%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.96%24.37%24.52%25.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.704.0028.57%26.94%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%28.56%28.58%29.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.213.203.4434.48%31.11%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 46.98%; Iraklis FC (Visit): 24.46%; Draw: 28.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.44, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.20%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.75%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.20%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.75%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -3.69%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.78%EV -4.16%E -2.04%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.31%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.91%EV -7.74%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -4.63%E -2.28%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.65%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -1.74%E -0.505%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.03%EV -5.57%E -2.77%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.60%EV -8.05%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-07 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.04%E -3.02%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.98%E -3.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.98%E -3.53%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -7.45%E -3.78%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -7.92%E -4.04%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.18%E -0.544%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -5.85%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.39%E -4.30%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.10%EV -8.86%E -4.57%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -8.86%E -4.57%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.27%E -5.38%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -10.74%E -5.65%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.18%E -0.544%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.73%EV -11.21%E -5.93%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.73%EV -11.21%E -5.93%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -11.68%E -6.21%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-07 14:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -11.68%E -6.21%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.82%EV -12.15%E -6.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.97%EV -8.78%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.21%EV -9.45%E -2.98%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 14:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.47%EV -13.09%E -7.07%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -17.16%E -5.92%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -14.03%E -7.67%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -14.03%E -7.67%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31% | 1.9% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31% | 1.9% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31% | 1.9% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 14:55 |