Language:English
Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 38.58%2.59fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.15%38.72%38.61%40.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.382.402.5147.62%42.06%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atromitos Athens (Visit)
Prediction 31.16%3.21fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%31.02%31.17%32.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.2036.36%34.24%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.25%3.31fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.745%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.78%30.26%30.22%31.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.023.053.2535.46%33.16%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 38.58%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 31.16%; Draw: 30.25%. For Atromitos Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.276%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.37%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -2.46%E -0.785%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.87%EV -5.61%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.37%EV -3.16%E -1.26%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -2.46%E -0.785%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.87%EV -5.61%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.51%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -1.68%E -0.515%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -4.95%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -6.63%E -2.74%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.83%E -0.582%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -6.63%E -2.74%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.83%E -0.582%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.07%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -3.19%E -0.996%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 16:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.51%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.61%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 16:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.39%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.51%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -5.61%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.18%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -7.13%E -2.39%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.25%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -14.30%E -5.20%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -12.87%E -4.47%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.07%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 16:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.62%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -4.95%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -11.18%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%EV -10.10%E -4.34%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-03 22:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%EV -10.10%E -4.34%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-03 22:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -0.276%E -0.086%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.18%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -4.70%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.51%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.87%E -4.47%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.51%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.87%E -4.47%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -7.73%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.24%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.63%EV -14.35%E -6.46%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 30.96%EV -13.68%E -4.94%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.41%EV -14.68%E -5.21%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -15.12%E -6.87%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.45%EV -16.28%E -7.50%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -10.25%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -8.63%E -2.86%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.62%EV -18.98%E -9.04%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.46%EV -12.74%E -4.55%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-10 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.1% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-10-10 16:05 |