Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Asteras Tripolis v AEL

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -41.67%
Kelly -71.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.13%0.00%0.00%38.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.392.402.4042.55%41.83%41.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AEL (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -34.72%
Kelly -53.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.93%0.00%0.00%32.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.872.882.8835.71%34.89%34.72%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -32.26%
Kelly -47.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.69%0.00%0.00%29.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.083.103.1033.33%32.48%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 0.00%; AEL (Visit): 0.00%; Draw: 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%8.6%2026-03-27 02:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%8.6%2026-03-27 02:20
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%8.6%2026-03-27 02:19
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%8.6%2026-03-27 02:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%8.6%2026-03-27 02:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%8.6%2026-03-27 02:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%8.6%2026-03-27 02:20
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%8.6%2026-03-27 05:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%9.9%2026-03-27 02:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%9.9%2026-03-27 02:19
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%9.9%2026-03-27 02:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%11.6%2026-03-27 02:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.