Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 56.59%1.77cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -2.94%
Kelly -7.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.35%56.57%56.53%58.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.631.651.6867.57%61.21%60.61%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

OFI Crete (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.40%5.75cote équitable
EV +8.78%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.147%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.32%17.31%17.49%19.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.075.006.2522.22%19.74%20.00%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.01%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.308%
Kelly -0.418%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.85%26.12%25.98%27.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.493.503.8031.75%28.64%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aris Thessaloniki (Local) : 56.59% ; OFI Crete (Visiteur) : 17.40% ; Match nul : 26.01%. Pour OFI Crete (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.75. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +8.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.33%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +8.78%E +1.40%K +1.67%G +0.147%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.33%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +8.78%E +1.40%K +1.67%G +0.147%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.07%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.77%EV +5.82%E +0.957%K +1.15%G +0.067%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.16%EV -8.19%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:45
Suprabets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.55%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +0.946%E +0.163%K +0.197%G +0.002%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.36%EV -11.31%E -3.32%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV +0.946%E +0.163%K +0.197%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 16:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -0.794%E -0.139%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:30
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.53%E -0.453%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -1.17%E -0.308%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.53%E -0.453%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -1.17%E -0.308%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:54
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -4.28%E -0.777%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -2.47%E -0.659%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.28%E -0.777%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 16:34
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.28%E -0.777%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -4.28%E -0.777%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 16:39
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.10%EV -4.62%E -0.844%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.10%EV -6.63%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 16:30
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.06%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.50%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:55
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.06%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.50%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -11.72%E -7.51%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -11.24%E -2.20%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -8.19%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 16:34
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 10:05
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.22%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:30
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-22 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.67%EV -13.99%E -9.20%K -26.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 56.63%EV -16.25%E -10.98%K -33.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.76%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.61%EV -18.08%E -5.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-22 16:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.06%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.89%EV -13.85%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -14.72%E -3.00%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:29
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.55%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.78%E -5.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-22 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.03%EV -12.85%E -8.35%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.98%EV -16.46%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 25.99%EV -13.65%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 16:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 01:00
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.51%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.42%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -21.68%E -4.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -16.78%E -5.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-22 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-03-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-03-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-03-22 16:45
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-03-22 16:45
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%2.2%2026-03-22 16:45