La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Predicción 56.59%1.77momio equitativo
EV -4.93%
Ventaja -2.94%
Kelly -7.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.35%56.57%56.53%58.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.631.651.6867.57%61.21%60.61%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
OFI Crete (Visitante)
Predicción 17.40%5.75momio equitativo
EV +8.78%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.147%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.32%17.31%17.49%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.075.006.2522.22%19.74%20.00%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.01%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.418%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.85%26.12%25.98%27.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.493.503.8031.75%28.64%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.33%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +8.78%E +1.40%K +1.67%G +0.147% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.33%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +8.78%E +1.40%K +1.67%G +0.147% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.07%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.77%EV +5.82%E +0.957%K +1.15%G +0.067% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.16%EV -8.19%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Suprabets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.55%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV +0.946%E +0.163%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.36%EV -11.31%E -3.32%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV +0.946%E +0.163%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 16:38 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -0.794%E -0.139%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.53%E -0.453%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -1.17%E -0.308%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.53%E -0.453%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -1.17%E -0.308%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -4.28%E -0.777%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -2.47%E -0.659%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.28%E -0.777%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.28%E -0.777%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 16:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -4.28%E -0.777%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 16:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.10%EV -4.62%E -0.844%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.10%EV -6.63%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.06%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.50%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 16:55 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.06%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -9.50%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 16:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -11.72%E -7.51%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -11.24%E -2.20%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -8.19%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 10:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.22%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-22 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.67%EV -13.99%E -9.20%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -14.17%E -4.30%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-22 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 56.63%EV -16.25%E -10.98%K -33.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.76%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.61%EV -18.08%E -5.74%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-22 16:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.06%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.89%EV -13.85%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -14.72%E -3.00%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.55%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.78%E -5.24%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-22 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.03%EV -12.85%E -8.35%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.98%EV -16.46%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 25.99%EV -13.65%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -18.20%E -3.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 01:00 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.51%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -19.94%E -4.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.42%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -21.68%E -4.82%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -16.78%E -5.24%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81% | 2.2% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |