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Aris Thessaloniki v Atromitos Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 57.41%1.74fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -7.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.80%57.41%57.46%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.601.611.6668.49%62.48%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atromitos Athens (Visit)
Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.00%17.89%17.90%19.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.055.005.7022.22%19.81%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.67%4.05fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.330%
Kelly -0.441%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.69%24.69%24.65%25.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.704.0029.41%27.30%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aris Thessaloniki (Local): 57.41%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 17.92%; Draw: 24.67%. For Atromitos Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -12.74%E -8.38%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV +2.14%E +0.376%K +0.456%G +0.010% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-25 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.78%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.92%EV +1.61%E +0.283%K +0.344%G +0.006% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.31%EV -6.50%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-25 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -1.44%E -0.262%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.13%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.11%EV -1.98%E -0.361%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.76%EV -6.75%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-25 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -9.29%E -5.88%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -3.23%E -0.598%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.27%E -3.20%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.32%E -0.330%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.27%E -3.20%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-25 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-25 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-25 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-25 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -5.27%E -3.20%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 17:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.82%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-25 17:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -8.61%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-25 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.27%E -3.20%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-25 17:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.53%EV -12.74%E -8.38%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.49%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-25 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-25 16:46 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.96%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.00%EV -13.31%E -8.81%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.87%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.13%EV -10.45%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-25 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -10.44%E -6.69%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.43%EV -12.16%E -7.95%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.18%EV -14.88%E -3.13%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.39%EV -16.12%E -4.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-25 16:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.90%EV -9.29%E -5.88%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -15.78%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.64%EV -13.31%E -8.81%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.20%EV -15.78%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.16%EV -16.12%E -4.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-25 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 57.56%EV -16.18%E -11.08%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.07%EV -16.67%E -3.59%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.36%EV -14.89%E -4.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-10-25 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-25 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-25 16:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-25 16:46 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-25 16:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.57%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-25 16:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-25 16:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-10-25 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-10-25 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-10-25 17:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 1.5% | 2026-10-25 17:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-10-25 16:57 |