Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aris Thessaloniki v Atromitos Athens

2026-10-25 17:30 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

52%

21%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Prediction 52.25%1.91fair odd

EV -5.43%

Edge -3.00%

Kelly -6.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.84%52.25%52.25%52.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.731.731.8160.61%57.94%57.64%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atromitos Athens (Visit)

Prediction 20.90%4.78fair odd

EV -8.04%

Edge -1.83%

Kelly -2.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.73%20.90%20.90%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.854.194.304.4025.97%23.89%23.23%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd

EV -5.49%

Edge -1.56%

Kelly -2.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.72%26.85%26.85%27.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.393.403.5231.25%29.50%29.41%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aris Thessaloniki (Local): 52.25%; Atromitos Athens (Visit): 20.90%; Draw: 26.85%. For Aris Thessaloniki (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.81, with an expected value of -5.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	4.28I 23.36%NM 21.83%EV -10.55%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%	3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -5.49%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-11 12:34
Betsson🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.99%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-11 10:29
SportsBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -8.04%E -4.57%K -10.58%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-11 10:40
NordicBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.07%EV -9.09%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-10-11 10:29
FanDuel🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -9.08%E -5.22%K -12.27%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-10-11 10:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -9.61%E -5.55%K -13.16%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -9.50%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-10-11 10:39
Sky Bet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 50.84%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.96%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -18.49%E -4.74%K -6.38%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-10-11 10:53
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 52.10%EV -12.22%E -7.27%K -17.97%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -17.45%E -4.42%K -5.91%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-10-11 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 51.90%EV -13.26%E -7.99%K -20.10%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38%EV -19.54%E -5.07%K -6.85%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-10-11 10:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 52.20%EV -13.79%E -8.35%K -21.21%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -16.40%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%	3.28I 30.49%NM 26.26%EV -11.93%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-10-11 10:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.