Language:English
AEL v AE Kifisia FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEL (Local)
Prediction 35.88%2.79fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.48%35.89%35.82%37.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.602.7042.55%39.09%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AE Kifisia FC (Visit)
Prediction 35.02%2.86fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%34.96%35.07%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.602.8040.82%38.50%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.10%3.44fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.96%29.14%29.12%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.113.3035.71%32.07%32.15%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEL (Local): 35.88%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 35.02%; Draw: 29.10%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 11:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.08%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV -2.64%E -0.951%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV -4.27%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -9.21%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 06:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -1.94%E -0.694%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 13:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 07:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.43%E -2.88%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -2.64%E -0.951%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.43%E -2.88%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -2.64%E -0.951%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 07:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.50%EV -13.17%E -5.44%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.07%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.43%EV -15.03%E -5.15%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.88%E -5.79%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -13.88%E -5.79%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-22 06:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.88%E -5.79%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -18.53%E -6.62%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-22 06:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -15.68%E -6.67%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 13:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 13:55 |