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AEK Athens v Panetolikos Agrinio
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEK Athens (Local)
Prediction 84.05%1.19fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -3.67%
Kelly -29.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.81%84.06%84.09%85.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.101.111.1495.24%90.72%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit)
Prediction 5.07%19.71fair odd
EV +16.68%
Edge +0.725%
Kelly +0.758%
Growth +0.126%
assuming max odds 23.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.09%5.11%4.96%6.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0017.4717.0023.007.69%5.72%5.88%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.88%9.19fair odd
EV +8.79%
Edge +0.879%
Kelly +0.976%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.44%10.83%10.95%13.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.108.188.0010.0016.39%12.22%12.50%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Athens (Local): 84.05%; Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit): 5.07%; Draw: 10.88%. For Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.71. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +16.68%E +0.725%K +0.758%G +0.126% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.09%E -0.232%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-24 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.88%G +0.000% | 22.08I 4.53%NM 4.35%EV +12.01%E +0.544%K +0.570%G +0.068% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.81%EV +6.61%E +0.675%K +0.751%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.88%G +0.000% | 22.08I 4.53%NM 4.35%EV +12.01%E +0.544%K +0.570%G +0.068% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.81%EV +6.61%E +0.675%K +0.751%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-10-24 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.88%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +6.53%E +0.311%K +0.327%G +0.021% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +6.53%E +0.311%K +0.327%G +0.021% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +6.53%E +0.311%K +0.327%G +0.021% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +6.53%E +0.311%K +0.327%G +0.021% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +6.53%E +0.311%K +0.327%G +0.021% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +6.53%E +0.311%K +0.327%G +0.021% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +6.53%E +0.311%K +0.327%G +0.021% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.67%EV -4.18%E -3.67%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.77%EV +1.46%E +0.073%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.56%EV -10.25%E -1.24%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -10.91%E -10.29%K -181.81%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV +1.46%E +0.073%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.352%K +0.394%G +0.013% | 9.9% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -3.61%E -0.190%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +3.35%E +0.352%K +0.394%G +0.013% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.30%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.88%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -3.61%E -0.190%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.73%EV -4.27%E -0.485%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.11%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -3.61%E -0.190%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 8.51I 11.75%NM 10.97%EV -7.42%E -0.872%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -3.61%E -0.190%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.97%EV -9.23%E -8.54%K -115.35%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%EV -3.61%E -0.190%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -2.09%E -0.232%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.59%EV -10.07%E -9.41%K -143.83%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.76%EV -3.61%E -0.190%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.59%EV -10.07%E -9.41%K -143.83%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.76%EV -3.61%E -0.190%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.72%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.12%EV -8.69%E -0.483%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.16%EV -10.25%E -1.24%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 16:47 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.66%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.11%EV -8.69%E -0.483%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.22%EV -10.80%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.64%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV -4.81%E -0.550%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +8.79%E +0.879%K +0.976%G +0.086% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.44%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.10%EV +0.083%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.44%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.10%EV +0.083%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.42%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -13.76%E -0.809%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.41%E -2.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.41%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.67%EV -18.83%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.93%EV -17.32%E -2.28%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -18.83%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -23.85%E -3.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.54%EV -9.23%E -8.54%K -115.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -18.83%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -18.41%E -2.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.54%EV -9.23%E -8.54%K -115.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -18.83%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -18.41%E -2.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.54%EV -9.23%E -8.54%K -115.35%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -18.83%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -18.41%E -2.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 82.41%EV -10.91%E -10.29%K -181.81%G +0.000% | 15.75I 6.35%NM 5.55%EV -20.10%E -1.28%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.05%EV -21.13%E -2.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-24 16:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.59%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -23.91%E -1.59%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -23.91%E -1.59%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -23.85%E -3.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-24 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 81.69%EV -10.07%E -9.41%K -143.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.83%EV -23.91%E -1.59%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.49%EV -23.85%E -3.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-24 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.95%EV -11.75%E -11.19%K -234.98%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.81%EV -23.91%E -1.59%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.24%EV -15.69%E -2.02%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 81.97%EV -11.75%E -11.19%K -234.98%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.74%EV -23.91%E -1.59%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV -23.85%E -3.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.97%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.47%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.29%EV -26.44%E -1.82%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -7.53%E -0.886%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.37%EV -8.39%E -7.69%K -93.19%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.41%EV -28.98%E -2.07%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.22%EV -12.97%E -1.62%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -34.05%E -2.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -18.41%E -2.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -34.05%E -2.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -18.41%E -2.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -34.05%E -2.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -18.41%E -2.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -6.71%E -6.04%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -34.05%E -2.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -18.41%E -2.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 79.81%EV -11.75%E -11.19%K -234.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.45%EV -34.05%E -2.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 13.74%EV -33.64%E -5.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-10-24 16:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.4% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.4% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.31% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.4% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.24% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.93% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.81% | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 1.9% | 2026-10-24 16:55 |